Schulz on Market Cycles Aatro ETF Trading

Schulz on Market Cycles Richard Schulz

ASTRO ETF Trading Astrological Notes:

3/ 10 Note: 0600, 0900, 1100

...1030: Selling, as below, Buying SDS

MMT4

ETF Open Date Time Stop

SPY SS 115.15 3/10 1030 115.28

QQQQ SS 47.18 3/10 1030 47.28

EWC SS 27.55 3/10 1030 27.64

EWG SS 21.34 3/10 1030 21.48

EFA SS 55.21 3/10 1030 55.48

VWO SS 41.59 3/10 1030 41.72

XLF SS 15.53 3/10 1030 15.58

XLV SS 31.91 3/10 1030 31.98

XLY SS 31.97 3/10 1030 32.03

IYT SS 78.16 3/10 1030 78.63

GLD E 3/9 1400

RJI E 3/9 1330

RJA E 3/9 1330

TBT SS 49.03 3/10 1030 49.25

SDS B 32.32 3/10 1030 32.17

B:Buy=long SS: Sell=short, E: Exit=flat

Stops Close Only. (reflect support/resistance).

FLEX times: every half-hour: 0830,0900...1430

Posted ASAP (10min or less, usually), F5 refresh.

MMT4 RESULTS: From 01/ 01/ 2010

MMT4 ETF PORTFOLIO: + 13.26%

From 15 ETF positions (holding days into weeks, usually)

Total trades: 97

Gainers: 61 62.9% Average Gain: 3.726%

Losers: 36 37.1% Average Loss: 0.789%

Recent Closed Trades: MMT4

ETF B/SS/E Open Date Time B/SS/E Close Date Time +/- % YTD %

SPY B 113.20 3/5 0840 E 114.92 3/9 1330 + 1.5 13.5

QQQQ B 46.05 3/5 0840 E 47.02 3/9 1330 + 2.1 15.7

EWC B 27.27 3/5 0840 E 27.48 3/9 1300 + 0.8 12.6

EWG B 20.89 3/5 0840 E 21.10 3/9 1330 + 1.0 15.8

EFA B 54.28 3/5 0840 E 55.03 3/9 1330 + 1.4 12.7

VWO B 40.36 3/5 0840 E 41.40 3/9 1330 + 2.6 16.3

XLF B 15.00 3/5 0840 E 15.38 3/9 1330 + 2.5 7.2

XLV B 31.68 3/5 0840 E 31.86 3/9 1330 + 0.6 16.2

XLY B 31.37 3/5 0840 E 31.95 3/9 1330 + 1.8 12.8

IYT B 75.62 3/5 0840 E 77.78 3/9 1330 + 2.9 18.7

GLD B 109.35 3/9 0930 E 109.74 3/9 1400 + 0.4 6.1

RJI B 7.64 3/5 0830 E 7.63 3/9 1330 -- 0.1 11.0

RJA B 7.50 3/5 0830 E 7.36 3/9 1330 -- 1.9 7.0

TBT B 47.50 3/5 0830 E 48.76 3/9 1330 + 2.7 11.4

DGP B 27.32 3/9 0930 E 27.53 3/9 1400 + 0.8 22.0 (Flex)

TRADING Notes:

3/10 1100: Current odds about 60%. With each successful hour, they will improve. GLD oscillating within this am's range.
0900: Yesterday's exit was published late. Now prices are equal to or above them. 3/15 New Moon enters activity.
0600 It is not known yet whether the islands in $NYA, SPY, DIA, MDY, EWC, EFA and XLY are extension or exhaustion. Of all these, $NYA and XLY are of the most interest. Expect a mild rally early, near the 3/9 highs, then the test begins.
GLD is trapped between overhead and support, +/-- 1%, with the odds favoring a one day rally to overhead, then a decline.
In Europe, Debt is the Matador, Spain/Greece, et. al., are the bulls. In a future event, enter the US, as another bull...
3/9 TBT (inverse Bonds) was a key for risk. When it broke down, it was safer to exit.
0600 The Jupiter/Saturn research is exceeding my own expectations. And it is only one planetary pair.
Markets: Today, a deflation day, with early losses for MMT4, with support about 1% lower. Gold may be a buy today.
3/8 0630 As in the astro note, very little except impasse expected this week. Gold likely to flatten, then rally. Overnight, little change in stocks/bonds/gold. As of now, DGP and SSO are the likely Flex candidates. Also see Astro Perspective.
3/5 0645 A TAO 4 optimism rally from early Feb continues; over the last two days the likely breakdown did not occur.

That is significant. Now it is more likely that an acceleration to the upside will occur until April, the highs for the year.

A reflation day setting up overnight, with everything higher except USD and Bonds. TBT, GLD, RJI and SSO in focus.

3/4 0700 Yesterday, the RBA raised rates; today, the ECB chose unchanged; FED presidents Hoenig and Plosser both favor to raise US rates "now rather than later" and the muni chart below reflects their sentiment. Futures have set up for a deflation day, lower everything except USD and Bonds. Technically, lower stocks today is needed, or an exit.

3/3 0600 Gold, RJI, RJA, and TBT will use models independent of the other ETFs (my own charts, and shorter term).

Overnight, futures ok for the current positions. Today, on www.businessinsider.com in their Money Game Select part, there are several articles of note. The titles: 1) Europe falling into deflation, 2), China has huge public sector debt problem, 3) The British Pound, the rout will be ugly, 4) The lie behind Japan's unemployment numbers (somc adds, like the US, unreported drop-outs) and others. And in Clusterstock, a new ETF of mention, PHYS, a gold depository.

Today, stocks (and gold) are probably trendless early, with later decline. Bonds the inverse.

(ETF Buys for the MMT4 fully short (SS) equivalence might be 5 SDS, 1 DGP (or 2 UUP) and 1 SMN.) (IRA's can only Buy)

(previous notes below, and transferred later to the open site)

3/10 As in modern Physics, the Future can attract and influence the Present. The 3/15 New Moon's effects are beginning. Expect several crises on many fronts.

3/9 Writing has begun on Jupiter/Saturn. The Pearson r's will speak for themselves, given the strict methodology used. Physics is being presented a puzzle...how can this be???

3/8 More refinements on Jupiter/Saturn, now significant to greater than 1:10,000, (for n=1320, the Pearson r's are between +0.10 and +0.50, varying between the Quick, Slow and TAO average). It is strictly mathematical and statistically zeroed to compare apples (TAO, a zeroed oscillator) to apples (DJIA monthly % changes, zeroed). The writing begins. More political impasse this week, until the 3/15 New Moon.

3/7 Astro Econ Perspective note below. Final work on Jupiter/Saturn being completed.

I plan a publication within the next two weeks. Scientifically positive correlations Yes!

3/5 0630 The TAO 4 has been back in sync since early Feb, and is rising into April. Optimism dominates, and the discounting of negative news. Stocks rise. Today's unemployment number is likely to be no exception. Rally continues.

3/4 Rep. Stupak declares "Toyotas unsafe" (Neptune=illusive problems on the Mars/Satrurn=cars axis for 3/15 New Moon. The Solar eclipse is still doing damage to Corporate images, as well as the integrity of countries (Earthquakes, Greece, etc).. Also, Pres. Obama's health reform/insurance (Neptune) will also come under severe attack. from MD's (Mars/Saturn). Crises in both Wash DC and Europe (Greece, et. al). Current New Moon flooded places (with rain/snow) and produced political (Jupiter adverse) impasse.

3/2 Greece, Europe, and the US (Wash D.C., and East coast)) share the same 3/15 New Moon aspects. Neptune on the Descendant, with Vertex conjunct Rahu. Disillusion and destruction. This takes people out of power, and floods (Neptune). Also, Neptune's power is negatively enhanced by being on the midpoint axis of Mars/Saturn, and Saturn is opposite the Moon/Sun/Mercury/Uranus conjunction. This is a very negative New Moon.

The prediction is that neither Greece nor other countries will meet the EU debt requirements, and that there will be significant collateral damage, and revolts.

3/1 Slow SMT4

Sector 1

ETF B/SS/E Open Date

SPY B 79.79 04/01/09

EFA B 37.77 04/01/09

Sector 2

QQQQ B 24.17 03/1709

XLY B 18.97 03/18/09

Sector 3

ETF B/SS/E Open Date

EWC B 26.95 3/4

VEA B 33.36 3/4

Sector 4

VWO B 39.90 3/4

EWZ B 70.56 3/4

EPI B 22.30 3/4

Sector 5

ETF B/SS/E Open Date

RJI B 7.61 3/4

RJA B 7.47 3/4

USO B 39.15 3/4

Sector 6

GLD B 110.83 3/4

Sector 7

TLT SS 100.30 04/03/09

Sector 8

UUP B 22.77 12/16/09

The SMT4 is for longer term, investment purposes, and typically holds positions for months. The models are designed to extract the middle 50% of a trend--long or short. See ETF Trading for brief Sector descriptions.
...
B Buy, long SS Sold, short E Exit, flat

ASTRO NOTES HISTORY:

2/16 1200: 2010=Crisis...especially August. Primarily focus on the Slow TAO=lower, with no major rallies into 2011.

0800 The Overview: the first two weeks of August--major problems...major...

0600 The TAO 4 expects a stock rally in this time frame. Adverse Jupiter implies political impasse, and "no news is good news"; potential for temporary reflation.

2/15 New Moon, Jupiter adverse, also with Nodes=recent Olympic (Ju) negatives, large transport (interstate crashes, Belgium train wreck, Daytona glitches, etc.), Chinese New Year (of the Tiger) snow slow, Congressional shut-down, and probable warming & flooding...to be. Simply Large Scale (Ju) adverse populous. To come Congressional impass/disfunction and Political Leaders (Ju) under fire, flooding, Sovereign collapses/credit (Ju) default/devaluations, etc. On a more critical volatile front, Iran. Just as Debt can escalate to Critical Mass, so can Iran...and so goes Oil dependent stability.
2/12 Kondratieff is in part Chiron Conjunct USA Sun. Aspectarian application is critical.

2/10 Jupiter represents bravado/ promoting/ image/ the 'isms/and US States (gvmt's) with the antithesis (adverse aspects) being inaction/paralysis/disgrace/powerlessness. Jupiter is Governments, now in disfunction. They don't or can't act on Debts.

02/09 1100: New Moon 2/13, adverse Jupiter, a negative for confidence. Negative politics//companies/institutions. Greece bailout, to prevent further PIIGS fallout., a temporary positive with an entrenched longer negative.

02/08 1) 2010 FOECAST 1/15 vs 12/31 2010: A) Lower Stocks B) Lower Bonds C) Lower Gold D) Lower Hard Commodities E) Higher Soft Commodities (Ags, Food) F) Bankruptcies of Countries and US States (effectively, or Devaluations)

2) An Aspectarian (a numeric value for every degree--1 through 360) for every Harmonic. An insight recently. The initial hand plot was unexpected. Meanwhile, David Cochrane and I are making progress on the next Sirius version of the TAO, that will include the formulas necessary to create the Harmonic Aspectarians.

02/04 1000: Science. The USA chart. + into mid-Jan, then crisis Feb. That was the published prediction 01/07, here. Quantifying Aspects. Quantifying the Aspectarian. The USA chart that I use has about a 15-18 Virgo Ascendant..a work in progress...

maybe more importantly it is sensitive negatively to about 20 Cardinal=Oct lows...

02/03...Sovereign Debt and Toyota (Jupiter) now major current affairs issues.

02/01: Expect further negative news 2/2 into 2/3...communication and transportation related...corporate earnings and US budget maybe.

01/31: The broad sell signals on 01/27 in SMT4 this week are also Eclipse trend changes: attack Mars on the critical Me/Pl inflationary commodities (Ju/Ne).

01/29: Toyota recall. Eclipse. An attack on critical transportation and public safety.

01/28: Finally, UK downgrade this am, an attack (Mars) on a critical (Me/Pl) credit rating (Ju/Ne) (lack of faith). Same Eclipse dynamic. Also this dynamic can be applied an important news (Me/Pl) attack (Mars) on earnings expectations (Ju/Ne). 01/27 In a decling TAO 4 cycle (all of 2010), even positive news is supplanted by Fear and negative interpretations and actions.

01/25 This week into next are the most intense. The Orange Slow TAO4 trends lower All Year--that is the most significant. Of note are the two minor rally potentials early in the year.

1/22: 2010 Forecast: Implosion

01/21: Work on Jupiter/Saturn continues, and will be expanded into a study on the effects of the outer planets--long term cycle influence.

The next two weeks are filled with intense aspects--status quo changes.

01/20: The Mars on the Eclipse Me/Pl--Ju/Ne axis continues to activate.

Kennedy seat lost--Public (Sun/Moon/eclipse) outrage (Mars).

Research on the long range (1900 to present) Jupiter/Saturn pair is producing positive results and will be available when done. The format took time, yet will result in an improved TAO.

01/19: Eclipse still active, and augmented by Venus/Mars opposition next week. Passions flare, ultimatums given, assets attacked/lost.

The TAO 4 is in the middle of its initial decline for the year. Stocks have paused, and news is becoming more negative. Into Feb, it bottoms. But the overriding feature for all of 2010 is the decline of the Slow TAO.

01/14: At 01:11am cst tomorrow is the Solar Eclipse, or enhanced New Moon. Mars is on the Mercury conj Pluto and Jupiter conj Neptune axis, and Saturn squares Mercury/Pluto. The Google/China battle, Haiti, with continued dramatic weather and more. Water borne (Jupiter/Neptune) and communicable/infectious (Mercury/Pluto) are likely to kill (Mars) more people in Haiti than the physical quake

...

TRADING NOTES HISTORY:

3/2 1445 Probabilities are improving; the insurance was to let stocks slide lower, then sell, with the weakness=trend.

1230: Becoming more likely that MMT4 will go full short at 1430, except maybe GLD and RJI.

0700: From about 1000 yesterday until now, this site was non-functional. I am repairing the damage.

In the meantime, Stocks and gold continue to reflate, now beyond the projections. However, the Jobs numbers loom,

and after early rallies in stocks & gold, declines from the short term accelerated moves are likely into Friday.

3/1 0600: STM4 being simplified to 15 selected and representative ETF models: SPY, EFA, QQQQ, XLY, EWC, VEA, VWO, EWZ, EPI, RJI, RJA, USO, GLD, TLT, UUP. Prices as of Friday's close; results posted as the day progresses.

I made a new box below all the rest to post the STM4 trades.

Stocks: The overnight rally is to be tempered by the higher USD. Gold is already feeling the effects. See 2/26.

2/26 0620 Yesterday only happens a few times a year--an intraday buy gap (a 1.5+% break lower). It needs one hour of held lows, then apply a short (say 9 bar on a 10min chart) and watch it go. Exit when the 9 bar turns lower.

Today, neutral. Refer to the new $nya chart and comments below. EWG, GLD, and TBT went flat yesterday.

2/25 1700: Stocks had a tradable lower gap buy; gold remained relatively stronger. We'll see overnight.

0600 $nya (nyse composite) is at overhead resistance. Likely Deflation day, with USD and Bonds higher.

Stocks can quickly degenerate from current levels. Yesterday normalized.

2/23 1130: The current oscillations of the TAO 4 imply instability, with shorter trends more viable. So far, true.

0745: Gold remains a sell island. Stocks working lower, with both Bonds and USD (UUP) higher...encouraging.

2/22 1100 Even though the highs of the islands were breached, and we were stopped out, the overnight higher stock activity that is gradually now moving lower is positive for a sell. Just not yet. And especially with Thursday's surgery, relatively minor yet necessary to keep my hands working, probably no trading. All subscriptions are going to be extended at least one month, given all the ongoing difficulties. 0600:Gold is now a 4 day sell island.

2/18 1100: Gap island rules. The highs at 1030=the stop.

TBT was particularly unusual. EWC is set for a fall, and as a general market inflation/deflation indicator, of note.

0930 EWC today is important, and just confirmed a Sell Island

0700 Short-term overhead resistance reached, and possible Sell Islands forming. Hence the SDS buy. Gold did form a 2 day sell island, with Bonds neutral to minimally positive today.

2/16 1030: In retrospect, 12/31/2010, + 12.16% will be respectable. Statistically, MMT4 is over-achieving. Patience.

2/13 1300: Gold misbehaved Friday. That is significant. Wave 1 of the 2010 decline in stocks is probably over.

The Quatro of GLD, RJI, RJA, TBT will likely dominate for a month (rally). Eventually (late March?) TBT/GLD will peak.

2/12 1250: XLY Howard Davidowitz, on blooomberg, entertaining, if not clear, as usual...

0835 Given EWG and its fall from 23.00 to 20.00, Bundesbank President Weber is serious about German Q1 results. To be followed in admission of weakness by many developed nations Leaders=followers...tail wags dog...

0630 Deflationary day, with UUP and Bonds higher.

2/11 1430 The Global Developed Nations Powers have no idea what to do with their debt, nor with the Developed Nations deflationary trend. Demographics, Debt and De-leveraging win.

Stocks are also unclear. Lower trend contrasted with an oversold rally possibility. Same with Gold.

2/10 1300 Bonds will become unstable. 1030 The technical picture for TBT is mixed.

1000 I hand graph 45 ETF charts per day. TIP is close to a sell. Stocks today may end flat.

0610 Stocks, higher early. A day that might evolve into a Flex trade, just not right now. Gold, consolidating.

2/09 1100: Greece now (aka, AIG, GM, Fannie/Freddie, etc.). Developed nations continue to implode. VWO benefiting

0930 SMT4 Results now from 01/01/09. The Bear market shorts from 2008 into Mar/Apr 09 were even more profitable. Credit is being given where credit is due. Markets: likely a 2 day reflation rally.

0730: Today, finally, a Reflation day--everything higher except UUP (USD) and Bonds. A phrase "the arbitrage of the middle-class" has merit; it is disappearing. For MMT4, objective systems are used, mathematically derived..

2/08 1300: The RA MO below the weekly SP. The 2007-2010 time frames, overlapped as closely as possible. The reverse of 2008 into Mar 2009 now applies.

0620: The goals this week is to add a second page to the $8/mth, and improve the graphics/technical charts.

The weekly SP and Ratio Adjusted McClellan Oscillator have been below for a week, because of their importance.

Stocks are now Trending lower, not just a correction. The RA MO projects into months for this decline.

2/ 07 FLEX relies on F5 times. Notes History was updated 2/6. and amendments to other pages added.

2/ 05 1400 somc will go flat TLT on the close, replaced by TBT. Need more confirmation to buy TBT.

1030: Amidst deflation, contrast SMN with the combination of RJI,RJA,CNQ. Of those RJA is more independent.

TBT will probably replace TLT over the weekend. Debt and higher rates reflect more potential.

1010: DGP premature, but still possible. There will be a separate Graph page on the open site...evolving.

0755: Unemployment, a neutral. Debt and the Pain of Payment, Globally, override. No flex inclinations at present.

0600: Deflation in action. US employment today.

2/ 04 1430: Comp Q, Nasdaq Composite. Unfortunately, no ETF, yet indicative. See March 2009 comments.

1100 Agriculture. Per your own technical skills, RJA vs RJI. Food vs. Hard commodities. Eventually a bullish bias.

0700: Yesterday, the last 10 min bar on SPY,EWC,XLF,XLV,XLY and others was revealing. That trend continues, as does UUP (USD futures) strength. Gold had risen to Local High/Local Low resistance, and stalled, giving the DZZ buy..

2/ 03 1300: Gold and Bond prices are falling in tandem=deflation. Applies to are hard assets, Oil included.

0900: EEV never worked from the open. DZZ (from yesterday's considering): Gold is right at overhead, and its decline probabilities have increased by the hour since 0400. Paul Farrell, MarketWatch.com, Global Debt article, 2/2, almost a repeat, point for point, on the open Economics page.

0600: In the last 2 hours, USD has been bought. Increasing probability of a deflation day.

2/ 02 0600: The US Gov. Budget (oxymoron) doesn't include 6.3Trillion in Fannie and Freddie liabilities (see Zerohedge and BusinessInsider websites). Meanwhile, the rebound continues until later in the trading day.

02/01 0600: This week significant news, and a probable stock rally, to revisit prices seen on 01/27, then a decline.

...........

SMT4 RESULTS: From 01/ 01/ 2009

SMT4 15 ETF models: + 41.27%
(from 15 ETF positions (holding weeks into months, usually)
(SMT4 trades posted lower on this page) (41 original ETF positions reduced to 15)

Total trades: 61

Gainers: 49 80.3% Average Gain: 35.34%

Losers: 12 19.7% Average Loss: 3.28%

ASTRO ECON PERSPECTIVE:

...

This is a brief note to start. The initial stock decline of 2010 was Phase 1; the current rally will take stocks up to or slightly through the Jan highs. Then the more serious Phase 2 will begin; TAO 4 peaks, news highlights the "buying opportunity", the numbers look great, and it's an illusion. Between now and then, stocks rally, but Bonds will start to show their Achilles Heels, both inflation and debt. Stocks are relatively safe for 2 weeks; Bonds are not. Friday's decline was just a continuation of the longer term STM4 sell, and we are now long TBT in MMT4. February's New Moon was just Jupiter adverse, legislative impasse, positive for stocks. The 3/15 NM is negative (astro notes), and likely to produce more than one crisis. The current rally will absorb the first two into the final week of March, and then cede. Greece, Spain, UK, Toyota, US States debt, health care, weather and inflation come to mind. By July/August financial crises will again be prominent, with revolts and either financial (protectionism/defaults) or physical war almost likely. Debt, taxation, and inflation are central. Inflation likely to briefly spurt (as in 2008), with sharp rallies in RJI/RJA.
Oil is likely to exceed $100/barrel this spring. AG's will encounter detrimental weather. The powerlessness of those in power will come to the fore, and the pain of payment after overspending and underfunding real liabilities will be evident.

3/5 THIS SPY 90 MIN CHART DOCUMENTS THE POWER OF THIS CURRENT RALLY, IN ITS INTERMEDIATE OHASE, IT WAS ABLE TO HOLD THE GAP OPEN LOW OF 2/25 AT SUPPORT OF THE 64 MA. THEN THE 25 MA HELD ON 3/4. NOW THE MA'S AND MACD ARE ALL IN GEAR TO THE UPSIDE, TO BE SUSTAINED PROBABLY FOR AT LEAST TWO MORE WEEKS. THE SELL FROM THE 15 MIN CHARTS WAS OVERWHELMED BY THIS ONE. THE TAO 4 AND OPTIMISM PEAK FOR THE YEAR THE LAST WEEK OF MARCH. MAYBE APRIL FOOLS WILL BE TIME TO SELL. THIS CHART, OR ONE CLOSE TO IT WILL GENERATE THE SELL. LOOK ESPECIALLY FOR THE FLATTENING OF THE MACD. AS SIGNIFICANT CHANGES HAPPEN, THEY'LL BE HERE.

CLOSED OLD STM4 POSITIONS EFFECTIVE 2/ 26/ 10

OPEN CLOSE

ETF B/SS/E PRICE DATE TIME B/SS/E PRICE DATE TIME +/ -- %

VTI B 40.64 3/23/09 1500 E 56.23 2/26/10 1500 + 38.4

DIA B 75.78 4/01/09 1500 E 103.30 2/26/10 1500 + 36.3

MDY B 89.65 3/23/09 1500 E 133.95 2/26/10 1500 + 49.4

IWM B 42.81 3/23/09 1500 E 62.80 2/26/10 1500 + 46.7

XLV B 24.05 3/23/09 1500 E 31.40 2/26/10 1500 + 30.6

XLK B 14.85 3/17/09 1500 E 21.69 2/26/10 1500 + 46.1

XLF B 9.20 4/21/09 1500 E 14.69 2/26/10 1500 + 59.7

NYX S 26.40 11/13/09 1500 E 26.38 2/26/10 1500 + 0.0

IYT B 46.30 3/18/09 1500 E 75.00 2/26/10 1500 + 62.0

IYR B 28.31 4/03/09 1500 E 45.80 2/26/10 1500 + 61.8

EWA SS 21.88 1/27/10 1500 E 22.14 2/26/10 1500 -- 1.2

EWG SS 20.97 1/27/10 1500 E 20.05 2/26/10 1500 + 4.4

EWJ B 7.77 3/18/09 1500 E 9.94 2/26/10 1500 + 27.9

EWL SS 22.11 1/27/10 1500 E 21.89 2/26/10 1500 + 1.0

EWU SS 16.04 1/27/10 1500 E 15.30 2/26/10 1500 + 4.6

VEU SS 42.27 1/27/10 1500 E 41.64 2/26/10 1500 + 1.5

EEM SS 38.97 1/27/10 1500 E 38.96 2/26/10 1500 + 0.0

EWW SS 46.86 1/27/10 1500 E 48.64 2/26/10 1500 -- 3.8

EWS SS 11.11 1/27/10 1500 E 11.01 2/26/10 1500 + 0.9

CNQ SS 65.77 1/27/10 1500 E 67.83 2/26/10 1500 -- 3.1

XLB SS 31.19 1/27/10 1500 E 31.50 2/26/10 1500 -- 1.0

UNG SS 55.65 7/11/08 1500 E 8.70 2/26/10 1500 + 84.3

SLV SS 18.45 1/19/10 1500 E 16.07 2/26/10 1500 + 5.4

JJC SS 43.67 1/27/10 1500 E 44.70 2/26/10 1500 -- 2.4

TIP B 98.56 5/11/09 1500 E 103.91 2/26/10 1500 + 5.4

FXE SS 145.13 12/15/09 1500 E 135.85 2/26/10 1500 + 6.4

................................

EWC SS 24.95 1/27/10 1500 B 26.95 3/04/10 1500 -- 8.0

VEA SS 33.46 1/27/10 1500 B 33.36 3/04/10 1500 + 0.3

VWO SS 38.97 1/27/10 1500 B 39.90 3/04/10 1500 -- 2.4

EWZ SS 66.54 1/27/10 1500 B 70.56 3/04/10 1500 -- 6.0

EPI SS 21.10 1/27/10 1500 B 22.30 3/04/10 1500 -- 5.7

RJI SS 7.72 1/27/10 1500 B 7.61 3/04/10 1500 + 1.4

RJA SS 7.62 1/27/10 1500 B 7.47 3/04/10 1500 + 2.0

USO SS 37.89 1/27/10 1500 B 39.15 3/04/10 1500 -- 3.3

GLD SS 111.52 1/27/10 1500 B 110.83 3/04/10 1500 + 0.6

PART OF WHAT IS DONE ON THIS SUBSCRIBER PAGE IS TO BOTH FILTER AND PRIORITIZE NEWS.

BELOW IS WHAT I CONSIDER TO BE A SIGNIFICANT CHART. 2010 WILL LIKELY EVOLVE INTO A DECIMATION OF BOTH STOCKS AND BONDS. THAT IS PART OF MY 2010 FORECAST. THE CHART BELOW, WITH A 90+% CONFIDENCE LEVEL, WILL BREAK LOWER. THE 0.618 OVERHEAD RESISTANCE STOPPED THE REBOUND IN SEPTEMBER. TECHNICALLY, THERE IS ALMOST NO FORMATION THAT IS WEAKER THAN THIS ONE. FAIR WARNING FOR BOND HOLDERS. ALSO THE FED HAS, FOR THE LAST FEW MONTHS ALREADY BEEN TIGHTENING THE MONEY SUPPLY (FROM THE FED'S NUMBERS ON M2).