Schulz on Market Cycles                               Richard  Schulz

 

NOTES  and STATISTICS:

SOMC Trading Statistics:
   

MT4  ETF  Portfolio results:      

From   01/ 01/ 2010       + 86.8%

SP 500 ETF Trades:

Total # trades:       278

Gainers:               164      59.0%

Losers:                 114      41.0%

Average gain:       3.70 %

Average loss:       1.79 %

Real-time: on Astro ETF Trading.

Holds for days/weeks, on average.

LT4  Portfolio  Results:

 

From   01/ 01/ 2009:     + 101.2%

10 Diverse Global ETF positions:

   

Total # trades:   119

Gainers:             78      65.5%

Losers:              41      34.5%

Average gain:     10.28%

Average loss:       3.08%

Holds for weeks to months

MT4  FLEX trades:

FROM   01/ 01/ 2010 TO 6/ 30.

Date  ETF   Buy    Date    Sell     +/-- %

...Mainly a 1 contract basis.

6/ 30  SSO  32.94  6/ 30  32.75   --  0.6

6/ 28  TBT  36.93  6/ 29  36.46   --  1.3

6/ 28  SSO  34.99  6/ 29  34.06   --  2.7

6/ 22  SDS  32.41   6/ 25  34.51   +  6.5

6/ 22  EEV  48.72   6/ 25  51.75   +  6.2

6/ 18  SDS  32/07   6/18   32.30   +  0.7

6/ 18  SDS  32.07   6/18   32.30   +  0.7

6/17   SDS  32.25   6/17   32.66   +  1.3

6/17   SDS  32.25   6/17   32.66   +  1.3

6/16   SDS  32.41   6/16   32.38   --  0.1

6/16   SDS  32.41   6/16   32.38   --  0.1

6/15   SSO  36.97   6/16   37.66   +  1.9

6/15   DGP  32.75   6/16   33.19   +  1.3

6/14   DGP  32.32   6/14   32.50   +  0.6

6/  7   SSO  34.13   6/ 9    34.72   + 1.7
6/  7   SSO  34.61   6/ 7    34.80    + 0.5
6/  4   DZZ  11.18    6/ 7    11.22    + 0.4 
6/  3   SDS  33.27    6/ 7    35.93   + 8.0
6/  2   SDS  34.51    6/ 2    34.57   + 0.2
6/  2   DZZ   11.08    6/ 2   11.05   -- 0.3
5/21   DGP  30.08   5/21  30.22    + 0.5
5/21   TBT  37.72   5/21   38.48   + 2.0

5/20   TBT  38.74   5/20   39.22   + 1.2
5/19   DGP  30.91   5/20   31.04   + 0.4

5/19   SSO  37.44   5/20   36.61   -- 2.2

5/19   SSO  38.04   5/19   38.40   + 0.9

5/17   DZZ   10.90   5/17  10.94    + 0.4

5/14   SSO  38.98   5/17   39.24   + 0.7

5/12   EEV  51.27   5/14    54.93   + 7.1

5/11   SDS  30.84   5/14   32.49    + 5.4

5/11   DZZ   11.11   5/11   11.08   --  0.3

5/10   EEV   51.30   5/10   50.54   -- 1.5

5/ 7    SLV   17.36    5/ 7   17.98   +  3.6

5/ 7    DZZ   11.45    5/ 7    11.43  --  0.2

5/ 7    SSO   38.71   5/ 7    38.63  --  0.2
5/ 6    SDS   31.68    5/ 6   34.47   +  8.8
5/ 6    SSO   40.90    5/ 6   40.56  --   0.8
5/6     DGP   30.63    5/ 6   34.47  + 12.5
5/ 5    DGP   29.98    5/ 6   30.45   +  1.6

5/ 5    SSO   41.76    5/ 5   42.06   +  0.7

5/ 5    DGP   29.32    5/ 5   30.02   +  2.4

4/15   SDS   28.71    5/ 5    31.14  +  8.5 

4/26   EEV   46.98    5/ 4    53.13  +13.1

5/ 3    DZZ   11.84    5/ 4    12.10   + 2.2   

4/29   DGP   29.78   4/30    30.31   + 1.8
4/23   DGP   28.62   4/26    29.17   + 1.9
4/15   EEV   45.72   4/23    47.93   + 4.8
4/15   QID    15.47   4/19    16.14   + 4.3
4/15   SKF   16.82   4/19    18.34   + 9.0
4/ 7    SDS   30.04   4/14    28.84   -- 4.0
4/ 7    SDS   30.05   4/14    28.84   -- 4.0
4/  5   SDS   30.21   4/ 6    30.03   -- 0.6
4/  1   SMN    6.82   4/ 5      6.57    -- 3.7
3/31   EEV   10.08   3/31    10.03   -- 0.5
3/29   SMN    7.02    3/3       7.03   + 0.1
3/29   DGP   26.94   3/29    26.99   + 0.2
3/24   SDS   31.03   3/26    31.17   + 0.5

3/19   SDS   31.10   3/23    30.78   -- 1.0 

3/12   SDS   31.85   3/18    31.27   -- 1.8
3/10   SDS   32.32   3/11    32.14   -- 0.6

3/9     DGP  27.32    3/9     27.53    + 0.8
3/5     DGP  26.21    3/5     26.24    + 0.1
3/2     SDS  34.00    3/4      33.82   -- 0.5
2/17   SDS  35.42   2/18     34.92   -- 1.4
2/11   DZZ   14.05   2/16     13.50   -- 3.9
02/11 SMN    9.04  02/11     8.99   -- 0.4
02/08 VWO  37.02  02/09   38.24   + 3.3
02/05 DGP  24.87   02/08   25.00   + 0.5
02/05 TBT  47.13   02/05   47.07   -- 0.1
02/05 DGP  24.62   02/05   24.61   -- 0.0
02/03 DZZ   13.49    02/04  14.72   + 9.1

02/02 EEV  11.72    02/03   11.70   -- 0.2

02/01 TBT  47.34    02/02   47.67   + 0.7

01/29 SDS  36.25    02/01   36.98   + 2.0

01/27 TBT  47.68    01/28   47.81   + 0.3

01/15 SDS  33.02    01/25   35.80   + 8.4

01/11 SDS  33.02    01/14   32.96   -- 0.1

01/11 SDS  33.19    01/11   33.22  +  0.1

01/08 DGP  28.40    01/11   29.23  + 2.9

01/06 SDS  33.65    01/07   33.93   + 0.8

01/05 EEV  10.09    01/06   10.05  -- 0.4

yes.....

FLEX  Results:            + 101.4 %

01/ 01/ 2010 to 12/31/2010

then closed.  Flex may re-open as my time permits.  Flex usually is a 50% to 100% per annum model, and is very time and discipline intensive.

Total  # Trades        81

Gainers:                 49      60.5%

Losers:                  32      39.5%

Average Gain:     3.14%

Average Loss:     1.64%

ASTRO NOTES

06 / 21/ 2010:  THIS IS A SUMMARY OF THE ASTROLOGICAL NOTES THAT ARE FEATURED ON  ASTRO ETF TRADING.

NOTES:

ECONOMIC OVERVIEW:     UPDATED  09/ 28/ 2011 

                                            (initially in 2007 into 2008, newsletters and website)

 

GLOBAL DEPRESSION  2.0  (developed nations)

         DEPRESSION FOR THE MIDDLE AND LOWER CLASSES

                   (somc: 11/08/2008)  HAS SEVERAL UNIQUE FACETS,

AND UNPRECEDENTED GLOBAL GOVERNMENT INTERVENTIONS.

GLOBAL DEPRESSION 2.0 IS TO GRADUALLY DEEPEN OVER 2008-2013

 

TEN D's  of  DEPRESSION  2.0, and the T's:

 

1)   DEBT  (SOVEREIGN: COUNTRIES)

2)   DEBT  (LOCAL: GLOBAL STATES AND CITIES)

3)   DE-LEVERAGING (RISK AVERSION ACROSS ASSET CLASSES, LENDING LOWER)

4)   DEVALUATIONS OF DEBT, CURRENCY  (FIRST STEP TOWARD DEFAULTS)

5)   DEFAULTS (INEVITABLE AND INEXORABLE CONSEQUENCE OF #1, 2 ,3, 4)

6)   DEMOGRAPHICS  (WORKING AGAINST ALL OF THE DEVELOPED NATIONS)

7)   DISTRIBUTION OF WEALTH (FROM DEVELOPED TO DEVELOPING NATIONS)

8)   DEVALUING OBLIGATIONS (PENSIONS, HEALTH CARE, SOCIAL SECURITY, etc.)

9)   DEPRECIATION OF HOUSING (20+% MORE, Developed Nations primarily)

10) DEVELOPED NATIONS UNEMPLOYMENT (20% UNDEREMPLOYED, entrenched)

CONSEQUENTIAL T's:

1)   TAXATION INCREASE (all levels and forms, compare 1930's increases)

2)   TARIFF INCREASE  (either Direct, or Indirect: Competitive Currency Devaluation)
3)   THRIFT  INCREASE (Savings, cost awareness, downsizing homes and goods)

4)   TENSION POLITICALLY (PROTECTIONISM, global political destabilizing forces, wars

MAY  2010  ASTRO  NOTES:

 

5/ 13  1000:  New Moon 5/ 13.   Vertex/Saturn square Venus is Loss/Simplification (Saturn) of Assets (Venus).  Given Eurozone New Moon Vertex cconj. Saturn square Venus, opp. JU/UR and NE conj Asc., Airbus is at risk.  Extended generally, all Euro busines is at risk as well.  Loss of Assets and Confidence.  Not to be underestimated.

5/ 12  1400: (Posted early, important). Technically, when I wrote on 3/2 via New Moons that a Greece deal would Not happen, I was wrong.  Now, in Europe, there is a Faustian bargain.  The ultimate result is the return to independent nations (protectionism in guise) -- Euro in Demise. The motive?  Representatives in power desire to stay in power.  That is the way it has always been.

1330:  New Moon 5/13.  New Orleans is bad enough; the epicenter is Houston.  As in the previous notes, Oil and Water don't mix.  The fraudulent oil exploration and regulation (Ne) decimates the Public (Mo/No).  The New Moon chart for Houston has Ne Opp MC, squaring Su/Mo Opp Asc, loosely squarely Mars.  Those are Major negatives.  Added is Vertex Conj. Ketu, Opp Pluto.  Crisis evolving.  This will be a disaster for Decades, and decimate the Whole Southern Coast and Industries.

Even though Greece and the PIIGS carry current economic weight, the US OIL/COAST fall will outweigh it.  There is a Critical Sleeper = Hong Kong = China.= Imminent Crisis.

The New Moon has Sa Opp MC/Ur/Ju = very negative.  Also, Rahu Conj. Pl / Opp Asc, also very negative, and Vertex Opp Su/Mo. This spells disaster out of nowhere.  Subjectively, I don't see THE EVENT.  Yet IT IS THERE in the New Moon chart.  We'll see.  Not only that, the event, if it happens, will happen within the week = soon.

yes

 

MT4  FLEX trades:

FROM   07/ 01/ 2010

Date   ETF   Buy    Date     Sell     +/-- %

ONE CONTRACT BASIS.

 

12/14  BGZ     9.16   12/16    9.41  + 2.7

12/13  BGZ     9.11   12/14    9.11  -- 0.0

12/10  BGZ     9.24   12/13    9.14  -- 1.1

12/09  DGP   40.78   12/09  41.12  + 0.8

12/08  BGZ     9.55   12/09    9.50  -- 0.5

12/08  SSO   45.16   12/08  45.51  + 0.8

12/07  BGZ     9.34   12/08    9.54   + 2.0

12/06  BGZ     9.58   12/06     9.60  + 0.2

12/02  BGZ     9.72   12/03     9.71  -- 0.1

11/30  SSO   42.51   12/02   45.06  + 6.0

11/30  BGZ   10.60   11/30   10.64  + 0.4

11/24  SDS   26.52   11/29   27.38  + 3.2

11/17  SSO   41.88   11/23   42.44  + 1.3

11/15   BGU  10.26   11/16   10.95  +  6.7

11/04   EDZ   20.60   11/15   23.13  +12.3

11/02   BGZ   10.68   11/04   10.23  -- 4.2

10/25   EEV   34.33   11/02   33.63  -- 2.0

10/19   EEV   36.02   10/25   34.58  -- 4.0

10/12   TWM 16.21   10/18   15.77  --  2.7

10/11   TWM 16.64   10/11   16.58   -- 0.4 

9/ 21    FAZ   12.38   10/ 4    13.31   + 7.5

9/ 10    EEV   42.95    9/ 20   39.81  --  7.3

9/ 09    DZZ   10.41    9/ 10   10.60   +  1.8

9/ 03    SKF   20.11    9/ 09   19.99   --  0.6

9/ 01    SDS   33.44    9/ 02   32.67   --  2.3

8/ 27    TBT   30.54    8/ 30   31.56   +  3.3

8/ 26    SDS   34.84    8/ 26   35.71   +  2.5 

8/ 24    TBT   30.54    8/ 26   30.76   +  0.7

8/ 19    DZZ    10.87    8/ 23   10.91   +  0.4

8/ 18    EEV   44.50    8/ 19   45.77   +  2.9

8/ 17    TBT   32.60    8/ 18   32.38   --  0.7

8/ 16    TBT   32.78    8/ 16   32.76   --  0.1 

7/ 27    SDS   31.43    8/ 16   33.74   +  7.3

8/ 11    DZZ    11.32    8/ 12  11.17   --  1.1

8/  9     EEV   43.23   8/ 13  46.83    +  8.3

7/ 27    SMN   33.87  7/ 28  35.38    +  4.5

7/ 08    SDS   35.25   7/ 23  32.52    --  7.7

7/ 06    SSO   31.75   7/ 07  33.42   +  5.3

7/ 02    SDS   38.01   7/ 06  37.24    --  2.0
7/ 01    SSO   31.82   7/ 02  31.92    +  0.3

 

MONTHLY NET:  2008

Monthly:  (from 2008, real-time on this site)

 

05/05/06          Start              +    0.0%
through  12/31/07.......           +  61.2%

01/31/08          +  3.3 %          +  64.5 %
02/29/08          + 11.7 %         +  76.2 %
03/31/08          + 16.5 %         +  92.7 %
04/30/08          +   0.3 %         +  93.0 %
05/31/08          +   5.0 %         +  98.0 %
06/30/08          + 10.8 %         + 108.8 %
07/31/08          +   8.5 %         + 117.3 %
08/31/08          +   3.8 %         + 121.1 %
09/30/08          + 34.6 %         + 155.7 %
10/31/08          + 48.3 %         + 204.0 %
11/30/08          + 66.8 %         + 270.8 %
12/31/08          + 54.5 %         + 325.3 %

 

Average Monthly Net (2008)  + 22.0 %

MONTHLY NET:  2009

...

                                               + 325.3 %

01/31/09          + 32.7 %         + 358.0 %
02/28/09          + 23.9 %         + 381.9 %
03/31/09          + 13.1 %         + 395.0 %
04/30/09          --   4.4 %         + 390.6 %
05/29/09          +   3.1 %         + 393.7 %
06/30/09          +   5.9 %         + 399.6 %
07/31/09          +   8.1 %         + 407.7 %
08/31/09          +  14.2 %        + 421.9 %
09/30/09          +    6.8 %        + 428.7 %
10/31/09          +  17.9 %        + 446.2 %

11/30/09          +    9.0 %        + 455.2 %

12/31/09          +    6.7 %        + 461.9 %

 

Average Monthly Net (2009)  + 11.4 %

01/27/2011:

...

As the volatility of the markets increased in 2008 into 2009, the trading potentials were also increased. 

When volatility is low, the investment potential is also reduced..
Caveat...with increased volatility, there are increased risks.  Past performance is no guarantee nor indicator of future results.

MONTHLY  NET:  2010

...

END                                             

01/31/10        +  7.0 %          + 468.9

02/28/10        +  5.4 %          + 474.3     

03/31/10        +  0.2 %          + 474.5

04/30/10        --  0.6 %          + 473.9

05/31/10        +  4.7 %          + 478.6

06/30/10        +15.8 %          + 494.4

07/31/10        +   0.0 %         + 494.4

08/31/10        +   2.6 %         + 497.0 

09/30/10        --   1.6 %         + 495.4

10/31/10        --   3.4 %         + 492.0

11/30/10         + 11.0 %        + 503.0

12/31/10         + 10.0 %        + 513.0

 

Average Monthly Net:  (2010)  + 4.2 % 

OCT  2010

..

 

JUNE  ASTRO  NOTES:

.....

6/ 28:  Jupiter = the "ism's".  Saturn = the Essentials.  2010-2012 the Jupiter Saturn cycle favors Saturn/the Basics/Contraction.

6/ 22:  Weather this year will adversely affect Agriculture.  Hints will come near the Lunar Eclipse.  More severe effects in the one month before and 3-6 months after the Solar Eclipse.  Promient Solar Eclipse Nodes will Highlight the Needy (Ketu) and the Greedy (Rahu) = a major Clash: augmented by JU/SA/UR/PL.

6/ 21:  Lunar Eclipse:  China and UK.  Both have the full force of the Sun, Moon, Mercury, Jupiter , Saturn, Uranu, and Pluto Conjunctions, Squares and Oppositions on/to their Angles.  JU/SA opp. contrasts the "ism's" = Jupiter/Politicians with the Reality (Saturn = needs of everyday life).  The TAO 4 global psychological index is sharply lower into September.  Stock cycle years ending in "0" and Election year cycles favor declining stock prices into the Sept/Oct time frame.  A forewarning.  Safety is paramount, as VE (assets) semi-square Saturn (loss) lurks behind the scenes.  WASH DC escapes the initial Eclipse effects.

6/ 21:  Last month somc wrote that the New Moon was likely to produce a "critical event" in China.  Now we know = Yuan crisis.

6/ 12:  The 6/12 New Moon for London has Mars at 2, ASC at 15, and Saturn at 28 of Virgo, placing not only MA & SA angular but also MA/SA midpoint directly on the ASC = The feeling of adversarial attack (MA) and limitation/restriciton/loss (SA).  This Planeatry combination is squared by the SU/MO and ME, intensifying and aggravating the situation.  Bringing more misery into the picture is Vertex (fateful focus) conjunct Neptune (oceans, fluids, oil, disillusionment).  The VE/SA midpoint (assets lost, and affections diminished) is opposite NE/VX = scorn, loss, betrayal over oil.  Fairly clear.

    WASH DC has similar loss aspects, but as one moves west to the Gulf region, Pluto opp. ASC will demand decisive action and compensation.  Beijing is protected by Venus trines and sextiles;  stability in Asia until the Solar Eclipse.

6/ 09: A few defining moments in history:  1) Replication of Fire and Agriculture, 2) Replication of Ideas (Guttenberg),

3)  Replication of Things (Industrial Revolution, Ford), 4) Over-Population (excess demands on Global Resources), Now.

6/ 03:  USA CHART:  April 30, 1789, 1350 (1:50 pm) LMT, NY, NY  (40N42m51s, 74W00m23s).  (+/-- 10 minutes, to be resolved).

yes...

JULY  ASTRO  NOTES:

.....

7/ 28:  Both the WASH DC and Beijing Solar Eclipse charts destabilize for several months after the Eclipse.  WASH DC Vertex is the most adversely affected. Events are being set into motion beyond DC's control (election?)   (Refer to the Astrological Charts Eclipse Charts and Notes.)    Beijing is far more afflicted, with the Yuan controversy likely to escalate in intensity.

7/ 09:  One feature of the TAO 4 Global Psychological (Financial) Index/Graph is its Predictive merit.  The TAO 4 now has 11+ years of Real Time significant correlations with Stocks on this site, with positive correlations of greater than 1:10,000 against chance.  For the scientific research on Jupiter-Saturn, when studied as an individual pair , for 110+ years of data, the positive correlation of theJupiter--Saturn TAO and stocks has significance of greater than 1:1,000 against chance. 

This is positive astrological news!!!  David Cochrane and I are working on the 2nd version of the TAO 4 Financial Forecast.

...

DECEMBER  2010:

...

12/ 31  1000:  Chicago PMI. PRICES PAID, escalating higher. Trickle Up economics, globally.  20% higher CRB,RJI,RJA,SLV,JJC, et.al.affects everyone and corporations.

0800:  No for any change in positions.  Asia and Eurozone lower.  US lower open, and into the New Year and 1/4 Solar Eclipse--Eurozone hit worst by it early.

12/ 30 0740:  The Continuing Jobless claims are more important than Initial.  somc is focusing on the Solar Eclipse, 1/ 4/ 2011 and inherent stock vulnerability here.

12/ 29  1000:  William Black added to recommended authors.  Clear, experienced, quiet in his assessments.

0800:  The 2011 forecast was emailed at 1030 yesterday.  Today, the New Years rally continues, anemically.  Bonds declined 10/28 on a poor auction = rates higher.
12/ 28 0805:  The Case/Shiller housing index has rolled over.  somc has anticipated a double dip in housing for many months.
12/ 27:  0800: Today: post China rate increase, a lower bias early.
12/ 23  1200:  1) If you want to, 2) have the discipline over time, 3) there are profits available.
12/ 22  1200: There are very simple and effective ways to hedge.  All you need are the 6 somc ETFs.  = Varying time frames.  Flex varied time frames. Same parameters, just shorter time frames, depending upon local market dynamics.  Very, very simple. For  subscribers, I will describe the parameters.  0800:  GDP revisions = non-event. 

12/ 21 0730:   Happy Solstice!

12/ 17  1430: "Air pocket" means a quick 3% drop.  A lunar eclipse affects moods and the public. 

1100: China decided several years ago that the End Game is Commodities/Resources.  With its US funded (= general standard of living in US decreasing, dollars out) currency reserves, China can buy, almost indefinitely, whatever it wants.  It can drain water from India, only for awhile. It will continue to buy African/Mongolian/etc mineral reserves. China needs is Water.

0900: Pigs (livestock) and Pork (barrel spending).  Increasing Meat consumption is challenging ecologically.

12/15  1100: MCD, KFC, F, GM, etc. define Global economic impact, for the next 10+ years...diabetes, resources.  Diabetes (MCD,KFC) and resource exhaustion (F,GM).

12/ 14  1430: An aside:  12/17-20-21, somewhere in there, somc is likely to buy SSO into Q1.

1000:  Hoenig.  Today is his last vote.  His independence and depth of thought has been observable since his reservations about the repeal of Glass-Steagall.   Mr. Thomas M. Hoenig remains standing.  A note at 1245-1300, prior to the FED.

12/ 13  1100: BGZ risk is reduced, as I watch its 9.11 price oscillate across the screen while printing TAO 5.  Although the SP 500 is positive, it is a flawed index, as they all are. 12/ 10  1230: China: Inflation. Dictatorships always implode.

1000: For Flex, somc is likely to be buying DGP until it works (10+%).  It may be here; it may be at the 39.00 level.  somc is a bull on gold and stocks into Q1.  Both Bernacke and Congress are committed to making Gold (and SLV, JJC, RJI, TBT (anti-Bonds)) work.  It is as great a certainty as there ever is in the "markets".  Next week, likely conflicts within the FOMC, given the Bond turmoil.  Bernacke's policies, left unchecked, will decimate Bonds, globally.  Volcker intimated, a year ago, that the FED exceeded its legal authority.  somc agrees.

12/ 09  1500:  Bonds will motivate political decisions.  Globally, it is emerging (who are doing it better for less) vs. developed (who are entrenched in debt).  The Bond market dictates.  Not Bernacke, nor Trichet, nor Merkel.  China's inflation and policies are close to (as somc has written) being out of control.  Every major dictatorship in history has ended in catastrophic collapse.

1200: Perspectives worth noting: Rogers, Soros, Volcker, Reich, Stockman, Ferguson, du Plessis, Econintersect

0730:  On BusinesInsider, Clusterstock select, (12/9), Janet Tavakoli has a revealing critique of bank fraud in the housing market.

12/ 08  0800: 12/ 07 was a Bond Pearl Harbor deja vu.  somc has been a Bond Bear since Sep/Oct; 12/07 no exception.  somc completely agrees with David Stockman: Bonds will ultimately force a fiscal day of reckoning for the US just as They are in the Eurozone. The US Treasury needs to finance its debt, and the The debt clock ticks. 

12/ 07  0700:  After the 12/1 breakaway, now an extension gap, on the "spend it all now while there's still some left" news.

12/03  1330:  When I spoke at ISAR Chicago 2009, the most disconcerting question was "Why does not the TAO 3 go down to the lows of 2003?".  It was a component difficiency.  This is positive news for astrology and quantum physics. Planets = Information, at a distance.   The added Planetary pairs for 2011 is a major advance, both theoretically and empirically. 

1100:  The original TAO was 1985, with 2 Planetary pairs and a non-scientific Aspectarian.

12/ 01 0730:  The TAO 5 is positive into Q1, and a primary catalyst for this stock rally = pessimism transforming into optimism. Euro buy. Bonds sell.

11/ 30  1500: The 2 Logics that work in the Market: 1) Price, and 2) Astro = Psychology.

almost yes...

NOVEMBER  2010:

AUGUST  ASTRO NOTES:

..

09/ 07:  A brief summary of the 9/8 New Moon.  For Wash DC a focus (Vertex) is likely to be on (a conjunction with Neptune) disillusionment with politicians, money and love (Chiron).  The House goes Republican in Nov.

The 105W longitude (+/-- 10 degrees) is under stress from Vertex adverse to Node, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Pluto (more than just the fires?, floods?, (Hermine?).  Paris and the Eurozone MC attracts populace  passions and stressed leaders.  Beijing (and 10+ degrees east): disruption, disasters.

8/ 23:  Ketu conjunct to USA (1789) Moon/Jupiter square the conjunction of Mars/Transpluto/Mercury leads to an ongoing public revulsion of the status quo.  In 2011, Saturn moves in as Rahu/Ketu move out.

8/ 10:  The Jupiter/Saturn cycles: the 'isms ceding to the Essentials now. 

yes

SEPTEMBER-OCTOBER-NOVEMBER   ASTRO NOTES:

...

11/ 18:  The 11/ 05-06 NEW MOON has been featured on Astrology Charts for some time now.  

11/ 12:   As far as I can tell, Secondary Progressions (as well as Returns) need to be precessed.  Returns I have precessed from the 1980's.  Precessing the Progressions is a preliminary new theme.  Any thoughts?

11/ 10:  Mars/Venus aspects are igniting confrontations into early Dec.

11/ 04:  The Venus Retrograde reversal cycle will end about 12/ 09.

10/ 25:   1)  Several new planetary pairs are being added to the TAO 5.

2)  There is now  scientific evidence that Ketu is the active, aspecting Node.

3)  The TAO 5, related to #'s 1 & 2, has greater statitistical signficance.

09/ 20:  As the current TAO 5 research is expanding, Ketu appears to be the active, aspecting Lunar Node.  E.g., a trine to Ketu is far more beneficial for relating to the Public and contacting people, than a trine to Rahu.  I am in the process of quantifying this, and eventually publish a research paper.

09/ 08:  Harmonics are fundamental in understanding how the Planets interrelate with our lives and the Earth.  I adopt both a Theoretical and a Practical (statistical verification) approach for my research.

DECEMBER  ASTRO  NOTES:

12/ 29  1300:  The Solar Eclipse 1/4 is a negative.  Transportation/sales effects already being felt.
12/ 27  0800:  The 1/ 4 Solar Eclipse has been and will continue to impact transportation, globally.
12/ 22  1200: Jupiter/Saturn is the originator of the "10 yr" cycle.  Demographics and Sunspots are real factors.

1000: "We're going to race through 400 like we didn't see it go by."  Dr. Ralph Keeling (Keeling Curve).  400 parts per million of carbon dioxide (390 today). That is Long term. Weather extremes are having an economic impact this month.  More to come.

12/ 20 1200:   Sunspots, combined with the second negative phase of the Jupiter/Saturn Cycle.

0730:  All TAO Graphs are now mailed.  The TAO 5 uses Transiting Aspects, and correlates them with real-world activity, with significant scientific reliability.  The quantifying of those aspects--measuring their positive and negative influence--over time, has not been done reliably before in Astrology.  The TAO 5 maps Sentiment and Stock prices from 1999 through 2011.  Enjoy.

12/ 17  1000:  Lunar Eclipse. Air pockets for investors.

12/ 09: The TAO 5 reveals more of what the TAO measures.  Well Being. Compare is TAO 5 with the Current Conditions measure of the Conference Board.  Stocks (owned only by a few) have rallied,  The TAO 5 remains near its 11 year lows--as does the CB Index. The TAO can also be used in personal chart interpretation--the TAO value for each Planet/Angle, etc.

...

JAN/SEP 2011

 

....

09/ 30 1000: Lower Lows: (among many others) BGU,EFA,EWC,EWZ,FXE,JJC,RJA,RJI,SLV,USO,VEU,VWO,XLF.  Bear Market.  The emerging markets are lower 30+%, as are commodity related countries (like EWC, EWZ).  Even lower to come.

Mars has been an active trigger of events in its transit of Eclipse points.  Neither the Eclipse nor Mars (and later Saturn) are done yet = just a very malefic Eclipse.

09/ 28 1230:  Richard Fisher, who I mentioned in a subscriber note, continues to be a leader of the FED. 

09/ 27 0600:  Bear Market rallies tend to be quick, dynamic and tradable. Then the underlying fundamentals re-assert.  ECRI and Lakshman Achuthan are decidedly negative.  www.econintersect.com  9/26 posted a valuable article on the Merits of the CFNAI (Chicago FED National Activity Index) = Weakening. Worth a deep read. Demographic pressures remain for several years.  On the metals front, Copper is most likely in tune with Equities.  Gold had a washout intraday 9/26.

09/ 26  0600:  For now, the essence of "news" is decidely negative.  For the current times, there is NO HISTORIC ANALOGY. 

09/ 23  0430:  The Cardinal T-Square (Saturn/Uranus/Pluto) is being amplified by Mercury and Venus.  They pass through Libra quickly and will likely provide some relief.  Jupiter/Saturn also, of course,are extracting a very heavy toll on the Political Powers (Jupiter) and Structures (Saturn) of the world.

09/ 22  0400: The FED and Developed nations banks (maybe with the exception of China) are now and will be powerless to stop the slide that is ahead.

09/ 21 2030: As I wrote 3 1/2 years ago, PIGS was not survivable.  That, plus current and enduring negative demograpics

09/ 16  1000:  The Euro (PIGS)(somc has been negative since early 2008) is both global and critical.   somc has been terminally negative on the current structure of the Euro for 3 years.  The Euro will be fundamentally restructured.

09/ 14  1900:  BEAR MARKET.  Weekly charts. Until at least 2013.  Demographics suggest at best sluggish well beyond 2013.

01/ 24  1000:   There is www.econintersect.com , as well as www.seekingalpha.com and www.zerohedge.com , for daily reads.

09/ 12  0500:  A New Beginning.

04/ 10  1400:  The meditative rest continues.

02/ 11  1200:  There was a long transition from 1776 and 1789--now just begining in the Middle East and Eurozone.

1000:  Stocks will likely end the year lower than today's values.  The summer will be problematic.

02/ 03  0740:  Dictatorships never fall easily.

01/ 26  1430:  Ketu conjunct Ascendant was looking for dishonesty:  The FED briefly alluded to inflation.  QE2 exported inflation.  All emerging markets are dealing  with the the "hot" money Inflow from the Developed Nations seeking "return".

01/ 25  1300: Ketu is the Moon's south node.  All Planetary nodes have significance.  The lunar nodes especially have social significance.  Ketu is Yin. Rahu is Yang.  Ketu exposes. Rahu promotes.  When I see Ketu conjunct Ascendant on the FED announcement, I am concerned.  With Ketu conj. Asc.in a personal chart, life has an inexorable ethical/etheric component = many "make or break" situations.

01/ 24  1000:   There is www.econintersect.com , as well as www.seekingalpha.com and www.zerohedge.com , for daily reads, among many others...

01/ 21  1600:  Dr. Copper (JJC) is 90+% Bearish.  A classic chart.  That's where the "almost classic and 90+%" enter in.

01/ 19  1130: New trade issued.  As per the SOMC 2011 Forecast, currencies are coming into focus right now.

01/ 13  1200:  The EURO. A defunct currency.

01/ 11  1100:  Eurozone is "fixed", like on their own illusions.

01/ 05  1000:   2011 global contraction ahead, by year end.

 

Related to health issues, there were no Trading Notes Feb--Sept 2011.

 

 

 

MONTHLY  NET:  2011

 

END                    %                   %

01/31/11          --   2.0          + 511.0

02/28/11          +   0.7          + 511.7

03/31/11          +   5.0          + 516.7

04/30/11          +   2.1          + 518.8

05/31/11          +   2.9          + 521.7

06/30/11          +   5.1          + 526.8

07/31/11          +   7.8          + 534.6

08/31/11          --   2.7          + 531.9

09/30/11          + 16.3          + 548.2

10/31/11          +   0.6          + 548.8

11/30/11

12/31/11

 

Average  Monthly  Net: (2011)   + 3.6 %

JANUARY THROUGH SEPTEMBER 2011 ASTRO NOTES:

 

  

01/ 31  1000:  Weather or not...  Jupiter, Neptune, and to some extent Venus, are the precipitation Planets.  New Moon 2/2.  Look at it for the Midwest (Chicago) and Northeast.  Chicago has Venus opp. Ketu/MC.  Also VX/UR/JU opp. Asc.   Also Ceres/SU/MO/MA Semi-square VX/UR/JU. Probably records or near records.  Then it moves east.  New York has Ketu conj. MC opp. VE/PL, with again UR/JU/VX opp. Asc. semi-square Ceres/SU/MO/MA/Neptune.  = A storm of the decades.

01/ 31  0700: The negative Sun/Venus/Mars/Ceres aspects for these weeks govern passions, and outcomes for leaders.

01/ 28  0900:  Solar Eclipse.  Egypt (Tunisia).  Egypt has Ketu opposite MC/Pluto/Sun/Moon/Mars via the TAO 5 Aspectarian. This is inflammatory and negative.  Vertex conj Desc square MC/PL.  The insurrections have Astrological support.  There are additional negative factors to the Middle East Solar Eclipse charts.     This has Global significance and implications.

01/ 25  1200: FED announcement chart.  Ketu conj Asc. square Jupiter/Uranus, Moon conj Vertex, square Sun/Mars/Ceres. Assessment = Major negative. Also Chiron/Neptune conj MC opp. Transpluto = volatile.  The adverse aspects overwhelm the benefic, in TAO 5 assessment, by a large margin.  TAO 5 assessment: SP 500 choppy early, and selling after the announcement. 

01/ 21  1200:  As time allows I will load the 2/2/11 Wash DC New Moon chart.  From a TAO 5 / Aspectarian perspective, it is certain that the US (leaders) are approaching the vortex of a crisis yet to emerge.  Ketu is conjunct MC.  That alone is sufficient cause.  Also, Jupiter and Uranus are conjunct the Desc. = Opp Asc. = worst = destruction of expansion and optimism.  Similar to how the TAO 5 emerging science assesses that Ketu is the active Node, it is my guesstimation that the Anti-Vertex is also the active Angle.  AV is conj. SA = focus on unmet basics = work/food/housing..  As for Assets, the Venus/Pluto midpoint is opposite Ketu = large loss.  The US West coast is hard hit  (flooding/property destruction).  Beijing also a crisis  (Pluto conj. MC opp.Ketu = worst).  We'll see...

TRADING  NOTES:

OCT  2011:

...

10/ 24  0700:  An irony is that the US is not AAA, and France is; and the latter is about to implode, along with Greece, Itally, Spain, and, Trickly Down, Germany.

I yield, with full respect, to Tyer Durden, of www.zerohedge.com, for further commentary.  Technically, there are 3 primary types of gaps: Breakaway, Extension, and Exhaustion.  US equities are processing the last of 2 Exhaustion Gaps in succession. 

10/ 21  0700:  Globally, we are already in Recession = similar to the Mar-May 2008 phase.  The excesses in both Eurozone and China over the last few years now will produce Global pain.  Deleveraging and contraction continues into 2013.

10/ 19  0725:  David Rosenberg, Lakshman Achuthan (ECRI), and Tom DeMark are all thinking like I am.  Recession.

10/ 18  0600: I am back from a health adjustment--medications. Now, ok.

10/ 11   0700:  Use exponential ma's as well.  One very simple exp ma's, for daily work, is the 25.  As with Every ma, it goes through it's periodic very rapid jigggles and drawdowns.  The best way I have found to smooth that is through blending the 25 day average with the MACD and CCI.

0420:  Given the release of the tao, I think the best planetary pair selection that I have found is:

AE,AG,AI,AK,AM,AO,AQ,AS,EJ,ET,FB,FD,FF,FR/3,GM/5,FX/10,FZ/10.  Try it, and zero it how you wish, with any of the longer parameter columns.

10/ 07  1200:  The DOW 30 I do not respect at all as an index.  It would be best abandoned and restructured.  However, Dow Jones did create the Global DOW that I do respect and observe.  Easiest is on www.marketwatch.com  Similar to global futures.  Global deflation and deleveraging will continue to dominate.

10/ 06  0740:  Steve Jobs (with Wozniak initially) helped to transform the Globe into what communication is now.