ExpO T   ETF  Trading                                                          Richard  Schulz

    

  Exponential Oscillators: 18 ETF  ExpO Trends     Markets: Stocks, Bonds, Currencies, Gold, Oil


Disclaimer:

SOMC tries to ensure that the information provided is complete and correct, but does not warranty its accuracy or reliability.  Information and opinions may change without notice, so readers are advised to check any material items(s) with an adviser before making any decisions.  SOMC is for information purposes only, and does not constitute any kind of investment advice.  It should also be noted that simulated performance is not a guide to future performance.  Neither is past performance a necessarily reliable indicator of future performance.  No return of capital is implied or guaranteed.  There is a risk of loss of capital whenever money is invested, and we do not hold ourselves responsible for your stock trading or investing decisions.  No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to any presented or discussed here.  Absolutely consult your registered financial advisor and your risk trading plan before ever investing or trading any financial instrument.   All intellectual property rights in SOMC and website are, and at all times remain, the property of Richard Frank Schulz.  The content of Schulz on Market Cycles (in particular, the TAO 2, future generations of the TAO, the TAOscope, TAOgraph, TAOtransits, TAOtrader, and other TAO products), are protected by copyright.  The reproduction or duplication of information or data, especially the use of terms, wording, figures or graphs, is subject to prior approval of Richard Frank Schulz.

Transit Aspect Oscillator  A Global (personal) Psychological and Economic Indicator

       TAO 9 Applications:

        To the best of my knowledge, from Donald Bradley's efforts in the 1960's to the present time, there has not been a published astronomical oscillator correlating real-time with global stock indexes as the TAO 9 does. The study of the mathematical nature of the TAO  and its correlations with multiple realms of human activities has the potential to become a new field of scientific endeavor.
       The three TAO values (short, intermediate, and long term) and trends have statistical reliability and significance, and, therefore, probable predictive value  relative to global stock prices.  The creation of the TAO oscillators has been a 30 year project.   
       The rise and fall of global psychological optimism and pessimism correlate with the rise and fall of global wealth, as measured by stock prices. When the TAO 9 is below zero and falling, fear and pessimism dominate, manifesting in stock market declines.  When the TAO 9 is above zero and rising, happiness and optimism dominate, synchronistic, statistically, with rising stock market prices.  
      SOMC combines the TAO 9's intrinsic value with 25+ years of  technical market analysis and developing technical trading systems to time the price movements of the stock and commodity markets effectively.
      The graph of the aspectarian (that assigns positive and negative numbers to every degree of planetary pair angular separation) is not shown.  This graph (not shown) happens to validate some traditional astrological tenets on the nature of aspects. The TAO 9, however, is strictly astronomical and mathematical.  SOMC uses both the TAO 9 and relatively simple mechanical models to time and trade  intermediate and long term.

.....

CONTACT:   richardschulz12@yahoo.com             

Richard Frank Schulz 

07/ 09/ 1950, 1510 est, Detroit, MI, USA 
Bachelor of Science, 1978         

Master of Science, Clinical Psychology, 1987

TAO 9 available:


1)  TAO 9 1980-2015 and 1997-2015 graphs with a 3 page explanation

     2015 Financial Forecast included.

              $25.00    PayPal, Check, Money Order, etc., (USD or equivalent)

              Sent via snail mail only, please provide mailing address


2)  Subcription:   Not available currently  ($ 225/ year, $50/ 2months)

     a) The above hard copies of the TAO 9 graphs and explanation

     b) Real-time Equity, Bond, Gold and VIX positions and alerts, emailed

     c) Weekly commentary and technical charts


 www.PayPal.com   richardschulz12@yahoo.com

Richard Schulz
2240 Arizona Ave.
ROCKFORD, IL   61108-7503

815-398-5093

 


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SOMC Purposes:   10/21/16


1) Explore the EMA Oscillators across bi-daily and hourly data, and 5+ diverse ETF sectors

2) TAO 9 research: scientific astro cyclical advances, with multiple real world, real time applications

3) Timely technical charts and analysis: Stocks/ETFs usually, with some Bonds and Gold

4) Publish statistically sound Planetary cycles studies, whether positive or negative correlations

5) Utilize 30yrs of Astro and Trading experience



NOTES                                                                                                                  

8 - 22 0740: Missed the XIV buy.  The Eclipse... Hopefully, you are riding it.  Sometime today is the safe exit.  It might last into 8-23 however...

8 - 18 0700: Equity Bear trend is now set. The temptation: buying XIV on the 8/17 close.  Patience and discipline.  Selling rallies.

8 - 17 0800: Equity declines continue.  The Eclipse has been effective: inserting doubt and caution.

8 - 16 0800: Today ends the rally.  Into October, a large global equity decline awaits.

8 - 15 0700: 2nd day of a bear market rally, and nearing overhead.  Most likely, resuming TZA and UVXY tomorrow. 

8 - 14 0700: A rebound rally.  Today, erratic.

8 - 10 0600: Overnight verifies the trend lower for equities, globally.  Trading patterns dynamically change to Bear strategies: 1) selling rallies and now,  2) holding short for a few days+.  Near the open, XIV exiting.  Then, waiting for opportunities.  Away until ~1300.

8 -  8 1100.:  8/8  0700:    7 - 25/26/27 ended the Bull

8 -  4 0735:  XIV, from 10min to wkly, is set for sharp declines = Volatility rising.  Maybe starting today.

8 -  3 0750:  "IT", whatever "it" is, hasn't happened yet.  Patience and discipline.  Avoiding chop.  Then, more patience and discipline.

8 -  1 0730:  Another VIX decline day at the office...  Today, observing TZA.  Rising support is 15.53-15.63.

7 - 31 0730: Today, equity highs early, closing lower.  Significant declines are very likely into Oct.

7 - 28 0800: May have to leave early for the day.  The equity dam is leaking...

7 - 27 0730: Patience and discipline...



02/17 0700: An illusion (delusion):  DJT policies can ever be funded, much less work.  Awaiting the arrival of the tidal waves of health system, budget, tax, immigration and foreign policy dysfunction.  He's too ill to lie well.  Subpoenas/indictments issued by the Eclipse.


        ExpO T  STRATEGIC           and            Technical  Charts

TAO 9 :   Brief TAO 9 summary and TAO 8 Graph


    The TAO 8 correlated with the SP 500, 1/1/1980 through 08/31/2014 PPMC is p < .0001, >1:10,000 against chance.    

          Pearson Product-Moment Correlation for TAO 8 and SP 500:   n=3602,   r=+0.48, p < .0001, which means that the TAO 8 correlated positively with the SP 500, both rising and falling, greater than 1:10,000 against chance.  This strength of correlation implies a causal mechanism, which is yet unknown.  As a comparison, to be very sure that the long sought after Higgs boson had been found, scientists used a 1:10,000 confidence level: p <.0001.  Current modern physics has no viable mechanism for explaining the TAO 8 results.  That is for future generations.

    TAO 9 Transiting Aspect Oscillator is a compilation of four fundamental primary concepts and functions:

1)  An Aspectarian based upon the weighted harmonics of the numbers 2 and 3, which gives positive/negative values to the transiting angular separation of each planetary pair

2)  The selection of 25 specific transiting planetary pairs used in the TAO 8 calculations

3)  Mathematical summations of those Aspectarian values (both exponential and unique astro averages) to generate the Quick TAO, Slow TAO and TAO 9

4)  Zeroing those summations over the selected time frames to create scientifically applicable oscillators

 

     The TAO 9 is a 100% mathematical, quantitative, zeroed oscillator that can be compared to real world, real time realms of human life.  The TAO 8 happens to highly correlate with the Global equities markets, and other financial, social and political measures.   The TAO 8 is a Directional Astronomical Indicator.

     As TAO 9 rises, Global Psychology tends to rise and equities/assets tend to gain value reliably (1:10,000 against chance).  When the TAO 9 falls, Global Psychology declines, pessimism emerges, and equities/assets tend to fall in value.

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TAO 8: 1/ 1/ 1997 to 3/ 31/ 2014    Vertical is yearly/quarterly.

                TAO 8, red. Quick TAO, blue. Slow TAO, orange.  SP 500, black. SP 500, BLS Inflation Adjusted, light black and the lowest equity cycle on the graph.

8/ 11/ 14:   The TAO 8 is a zeroed oscillator, now falling from its highest peak, yet for all of early 2014 favors optimism. All declines have been brief and bought.  The Russell 2000, frequently a trend leader, has shown the greatest weakness.  And now with the steepening TAO 8 decline will come increased pessimism, depressing events, social unrest, political instability and asset vulnerability.  The 2015 season will favor selling equity rallies.



The TAO 9: An astro economic indicator, similar to but distinct from the Bradley model

     1)  100% objective, mathematical, astronomic and scientific Transiting Aspect Oscillator

     2)  A real-time, directional astro indicator, now with more than 1:10,000 significance

             a) TAO 9 high/rising brings optimism, raises equities, asset values and stability

             b) TAO 9 low/falling activates pessimism, erodes assets and adds social instability

     3)  SOMC: Integration of astro, cycles, and technical indicators for investment positions


TAO 8 graph, 1997 - 3/31/2014 below

ExpO T  FAST  values:     +1000/-1000 Max/Min  (98+% +600/-600)   Mean oscillation duration ~ 8 to 12 days.

   

AUG         7     8     9   10    11    14    15    16    17    18    21    22    23    24    25    26    27    28    31    1  

@1450cdt

XIV          92   82    -7 -225  -504 -607 -514 -390 -395  -426 -479    

NYSE      79   72   18   -87  -203 -207 -174 -132 -146  -221 -265

RSP       -27  -18   -42 -115  -205 -205 -170 -125 -130  -205 -265

XLF        113  115   88   32    -43   -64   -46   -25  -46    -93 -137


VEU       174 155   99    -6  -125 -155  -147 -105  -79   -88   -86

VGK       141 121   78     9   -72   -96   -96   -73   -62   -80   -90


COMPQ   19   49   28  -76  -203 -190  -113  -40   -59  -154 -246

QQQ        73 105   90    -3  -122 -107   -30   44    12    -93 -198

XLV         -90  -88  -96 -129 -167 -158  -116  -70   -69  -123 -162


TLT          54   37   45    68    96  102    78    53    50    68    84


GLD        70   25   44   114  178  196   154  111  112   133  145


USO      141  115   95    71   31    -9    -67  -113 -150 -140 -101

IWM  Daily  08/21/17  0910cdt

    8-22:  Expecting a 1-2% bounce to 137-138.  Then another leg lower.  More later.

     

5 - 16   NYSE       ExpO T (ET),   ExpO T Fast (ETF),   ExpO T Slow (ETS)       5/16/16 - 5/16/17

      ET, ETF and ETS are unique oscillators.  As of the 5-16 close, ET Fast  prior thrusts below Zero were 3-6 to 3-14-17, similar to 7-25 to 8-4-16.  There are now 3 lower highs, and 2 lower lows with another (<-100) projected into Jun.

      5 - 17  The Forecast:  Accelerating equity declines, with both ET and ETS ending below Zero (into Oct).

Equity values will likely drop 20+%.  The statistical odds favor using Inverse equity ETFs as investments/hedges.

      ExpO T is a composite of Exponential Oscillators and EO Sums.  It is zeroed, with a range of +1200 to -1200.

8 - 22 cdt  ExpO Fast values:    Signals/Positions, refer to ExpO T page


      XIV,  NYSE,  NASX,  DJT,  IWM,  QQQ,  RSP,  SPY,  XLF,  XLV,  VEU,  VGK.      UUP,  FXE.     TLT,  IEF, LQD, HYG.     GLD.     USO.

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ASTRO  TAO  4 -7      1 - 25 chart update. Transiting  Planetary  Effects as related to the NYSE, and Global Equities and Assets.


     THE ASTRO  TAO (RED)  5-16-16 to 6-6-17, with the NYSE (BLACK) and Astro Sub Indexes.  TAO is an objective Transit Aspect Oscillator, and is ending a 7 month rise.   TAO is primarily Global Psychological Index.TAO >Zero & Rising = optimism.  TAO <Zero & Falling = pessimism and asset devaluation.  From early March, TAO goes below zero = pessimism and negative events dominate = equities/assets sustain declines.

     This TAO model was created in 1985, modified in 2016, and has a positive, 1:10,000 (p < 0.0001), n = 12,064, Pearson correlation,

TAO with DJIA, 1900 - present.  TAO is 100% objective: numbers in = planetary angular separations, then Sine formula, = TAO oscillator out.

01/23/17:    The W.H.O. ICD-10 Dx Manual:  The US Pres = 5 major Personality disorders: 1) Narcissistic, 2) Histrionic,

                     3) Emotionally Unstable, 4) Paranoid and 5) Antisocial (to varying degrees) = DJT is a global risk.  "Wild Man". 

                     DJT's  Dx's are entrenched for life.  For DJT, all "perceived" threats become "real", and are attacked.  Early dementia/ALZ.


6-2:  Into 2018, the onset of a global depression.  Deflation entrenched.  Global society risks. Unique Total Eclipse 8-21 USA, upheavals globally.

Postings are usually >=20min delayed     Monday aft and Thursday am away for bridge.


8 - 22  1420cdt:   TACTICAL (Hrs-Dys): 1430 xiv buy ~74.00 8/21 exiting  82.64


                 Buy         Date   Time        Price      Stop     Sell Date  Time         Price       %       Model

Flat           TZA        08/18  1155       18.04                        08/21  0917        18.48L     2.4      ETVF

Exit           TZA        08/17  1300       17.78                        08/17  1328        17.78s  -  0.0      ETVF

Exit           TZA        08/17  1103       17.44                        08/17  1214        17.84L     2.3      ETVF

Exit           TZA        08/17  0855       17.22                        08/17  0927        17.69      2.7      ETVF

Exit           TZA        08/15  0900       17.03                        08/17  0832        17.47      2.6      ETVF

Exit           TZA        08/10  1400       17.45                        08/10  1417        17.64L    1.1      ETVF

Exit           TZA        08/10  0830       17.03                        08/10  1300        17.54      3.0      ETVF

Exit           XIV         08/09  1410       88.00                        08/10  0830        87.99   -  0.0      ETVF


  L =limit   s = stop                   Tactical primarily uses:     ETF = Expo T  Fast    ETVF = Expo T  Very Fast
      (Volatility: Only on VIX Trades & Hx) 


ExpO  T  Tactical  Stats   (updated)

From  01/25/17            Net%+/--    #    #+  #-      W%  L%         Sum+   Sum-    Ave%+   Ave%-

EQUITY  ETFs                     142.8         102   63   39         61     39             161.1     - 18.3         2.5         - 0.5

ExpoT_NYSE051917.png

8 - 22  0740 note    (NOTES: BELOW CHARTS)


ExpO  T   Exponential Oscillator Trends:   Both Tactical (Hours/Days) and Strategic (Days/Weeks/Months)

Charts     ExpO T   (5 - 16),  NEW Technical IWM  (8-21)  and  Astro  TAO  4-7 update (05/16/16 - 6/6/17)  Below.

TAO        Transit Aspect Oscillators:   Astro scientific indexes.   Transit aspects as they affect global status.

                   May-Jun and Sep-Oct 2017: assets/equities very vulnerable.


8 - 22:     Eclipse, now a lingering astro effect.

7 - 5:      Global crisis (USA origin/focus) by the total solar eclipse, Aug 21.  Equity plunge into Oct.


             STRATEGIC  ExpO T (Days-Weeks):  Buying  TZA  7 - 3  1030, $15.93 = Selling IWM  $142.23

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