ExpO X & Z & T   ETF  Trading                           Richard  Schulz

    

  Exponential Oscillators: 20 ETF  ExpO Trends     Markets: Stocks, Bonds, Currencies, Gold, Oil


Disclaimer:

SOMC tries to ensure that the information provided is complete and correct, but does not warranty its accuracy or reliability.  Information and opinions may change without notice, so readers are advised to check any material items(s) with an adviser before making any decisions.  SOMC is for information purposes only, and does not constitute any kind of investment advice.  It should also be noted that simulated performance is not a guide to future performance.  Neither is past performance a necessarily reliable indicator of future performance.  No return of capital is implied or guaranteed.  There is a risk of loss of capital whenever money is invested, and we do not hold ourselves responsible for your stock trading or investing decisions.  No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to any presented or discussed here.  Absolutely consult your registered financial advisor and your risk trading plan before ever investing or trading any financial instrument.   All intellectual property rights in SOMC and website are, and at all times remain, the property of Richard Frank Schulz.  The content of Schulz on Market Cycles (in particular, the TAO 2, future generations of the TAO, the TAOscope, TAOgraph, TAOtransits, TAOtrader, and other TAO products), are protected by copyright.  The reproduction or duplication of information or data, especially the use of terms, wording, figures or graphs, is subject to prior approval of Richard Frank Schulz.

Transit Aspect Oscillator  A Global (personal) Psychological and Economic Indicator

       TAO 9 Applications:

        To the best of my knowledge, from Donald Bradley's efforts in the 1960's to the present time, there has not been a published astronomical oscillator correlating real-time with global stock indexes as the TAO 9 does. The study of the mathematical nature of the TAO  and its correlations with multiple realms of human activities has the potential to become a new field of scientific endeavor.
       The three TAO values (short, intermediate, and long term) and trends have statistical reliability and significance, and, therefore, probable predictive value  relative to global stock prices.  The creation of the TAO oscillators has been a 30 year project.   
       The rise and fall of global psychological optimism and pessimism correlate with the rise and fall of global wealth, as measured by stock prices. When the TAO 9 is below zero and falling, fear and pessimism dominate, manifesting in stock market declines.  When the TAO 9 is above zero and rising, happiness and optimism dominate, synchronistic, statistically, with rising stock market prices.  
      SOMC combines the TAO 9's intrinsic value with 25+ years of  technical market analysis and developing technical trading systems to time the price movements of the stock and commodity markets effectively.
      The graph of the aspectarian (that assigns positive and negative numbers to every degree of planetary pair angular separation) is not shown.  This graph (not shown) happens to validate some traditional astrological tenets on the nature of aspects. The TAO 9, however, is strictly astronomical and mathematical.  SOMC uses both the TAO 9 and relatively simple mechanical models to time and trade  intermediate and long term.

.....

CONTACT:   richardschulz12@yahoo.com             

Richard Frank Schulz 

07/ 09/ 1950, 1510 est, Detroit, MI, USA 
Bachelor of Science, 1978         

Master of Science, Clinical Psychology, 1987

TAO 9 available:


1)  TAO 9 1980-2015 and 1997-2015 graphs with a 3 page explanation

     2015 Financial Forecast included.

              $25.00    PayPal, Check, Money Order, etc., (USD or equivalent)

              Sent via snail mail only, please provide mailing address


2)  Subcription:   Not available currently  ($ 225/ year, $50/ 2months)

     a) The above hard copies of the TAO 9 graphs and explanation

     b) Real-time Equity, Bond, Gold and VIX positions and alerts, emailed

     c) Weekly commentary and technical charts


 www.PayPal.com   richardschulz12@yahoo.com

Richard Schulz
2240 Arizona Ave.
ROCKFORD, IL   61108-7503

815-398-5093

 


mepicture091209.jpg

SOMC Purposes:   10/21/16


1) Explore the EMA Oscillators across bi-daily and hourly data, and 5+ diverse ETF sectors

2) TAO 9 research: scientific astro cyclical advances, with multiple real world, real time applications

3) Timely technical charts and analysis: Stocks/ETFs usually, with some Bonds and Gold

4) Publish statistically sound Planetary cycles studies, whether positive or negative correlations

5) Utilize 30yrs of Astro and Trading experience



NOTES 

11 - 15 0730: Equity trading patterns have changed.  The EWJ sell (was long from 9-7) and sustained XIV sell (VIX buy) are significant.  So are the FXE and TLT buys. Both the US and UK are on a collapse plan.  The EU, Japan and China will sink with them.  The protective Jupiter/Saturn waning sextile ended Nov 1st.  Jupiter/Saturn now has a primary negative influence into 2023. We now are entering a fundamental global reset.  These also occurred 1817-1822 and 1917-1922, among others.  Inverse equity ETFs and periodic TLT/Bund buys are one strategic positive route.

11 - 10 0730: Yes, the non-tax plan man cometh.  Likely equity short into 11-13.  VIX is primed again.

11 - 06 0730: Patience and discipline. Divergences abound, and DJT "Con Don" is still loose: into XMas, "...on Donner, on VIXen..".

10 - 30 0730: ~1 month evolving. This week, the global equity/asset deleveraging accelerates. USD bull, equity bear.  The ultimate global depression lasts into 2022.  By 2020, there will be hindsight.  Today, initial equity fall, with a rally into +.  10/31 or 11-1 more serious.

10 - 25 0800: Maybe one more anemic equity rally.  VIX ripe.                                                                                                                

10 - 17 0805: 10-6 "Finally???...Probably."  Not.  Today???  More probable...  TZA is a longer term buy.

10 - 10 0800: Facebook, Twitter, Google, Microsoft, et.al. vulnerable = ad limitations to be imposed

10 - 9 0800: Not quite probably enough.  Again, equity highs early.  Later, some negative astro into 10/10.

10 - 6 0750: Finally???... Probably.

10 - 5 0805: In the last 1 1/2hrs, VIX had a buy spike.  Today, equities irregular early, and again models say lower later. Returning ~1300.

10 - 4 0800: Today, equity marginal highs near open.  Then, much lower into 10/5-6-9+.  Iceberg dead ahead...

10 - 3 0730: Equities grinding higher continues.  Patience and discipline.  At least VIX is now near its lower limit...

10 - 2 0800: Equities irregular early, lower by noon into close.  ExpO Zs are risk off.  October reverses Sept, and then some...


9 -  1 0750:  Seasonality (pre Labor day) boost is over.  ETVF models lost. Now for reversals, and Irma, and subpoenas, and Congress chaos...

                   And now finally, more notable assessments that DJT is less than sane...



02/17 0700: An illusion (delusion):  DJT policies can ever be funded, much less work.  Awaiting the arrival of the tidal waves of health system, budget, tax, immigration and foreign policy dysfunction.  He's too ill to lie well.  Subpoenas/indictments issued by the Eclipse.


    CHARTS                        ExpO Z           Technical          Astro     

TAO 9 :   Brief TAO 9 summary and TAO 8 Graph


    The TAO 8 correlated with the SP 500, 1/1/1980 through 08/31/2014 PPMC is p < .0001, >1:10,000 against chance.    

          Pearson Product-Moment Correlation for TAO 8 and SP 500:   n=3602,   r=+0.48, p < .0001, which means that the TAO 8 correlated positively with the SP 500, both rising and falling, greater than 1:10,000 against chance.  This strength of correlation implies a causal mechanism, which is yet unknown.  As a comparison, to be very sure that the long sought after Higgs boson had been found, scientists used a 1:10,000 confidence level: p <.0001.  Current modern physics has no viable mechanism for explaining the TAO 8 results.  That is for future generations.

    TAO 9 Transiting Aspect Oscillator is a compilation of four fundamental primary concepts and functions:

1)  An Aspectarian based upon the weighted harmonics of the numbers 2 and 3, which gives positive/negative values to the transiting angular separation of each planetary pair

2)  The selection of 25 specific transiting planetary pairs used in the TAO 8 calculations

3)  Mathematical summations of those Aspectarian values (both exponential and unique astro averages) to generate the Quick TAO, Slow TAO and TAO 9

4)  Zeroing those summations over the selected time frames to create scientifically applicable oscillators

 

     The TAO 9 is a 100% mathematical, quantitative, zeroed oscillator that can be compared to real world, real time realms of human life.  The TAO 8 happens to highly correlate with the Global equities markets, and other financial, social and political measures.   The TAO 8 is a Directional Astronomical Indicator.

     As TAO 9 rises, Global Psychology tends to rise and equities/assets tend to gain value reliably (1:10,000 against chance).  When the TAO 9 falls, Global Psychology declines, pessimism emerges, and equities/assets tend to fall in value.

T812514300png.jpg

TAO 8: 1/ 1/ 1997 to 3/ 31/ 2014    Vertical is yearly/quarterly.

                TAO 8, red. Quick TAO, blue. Slow TAO, orange.  SP 500, black. SP 500, BLS Inflation Adjusted, light black and the lowest equity cycle on the graph.

8/ 11/ 14:   The TAO 8 is a zeroed oscillator, now falling from its highest peak, yet for all of early 2014 favors optimism. All declines have been brief and bought.  The Russell 2000, frequently a trend leader, has shown the greatest weakness.  And now with the steepening TAO 8 decline will come increased pessimism, depressing events, social unrest, political instability and asset vulnerability.  The 2015 season will favor selling equity rallies.



The TAO 9: An astro economic indicator, similar to but distinct from the Bradley model

     1)  100% objective, mathematical, astronomic and scientific Transiting Aspect Oscillator

     2)  A real-time, directional astro indicator, now with more than 1:10,000 significance

             a) TAO 9 high/rising brings optimism, raises equities, asset values and stability

             b) TAO 9 low/falling activates pessimism, erodes assets and adds social instability

     3)  SOMC: Integration of astro, cycles, and technical indicators for investment positions


TAO 8 graph, 1997 - 3/31/2014 below

Technical Chart:   IWM  Daily  11/02/17


     MACD trend is lower.  10/25 to the 11/01 open was the likely counter-trend rally.

The 12, 16 & 25 WMAs are all declining.  IWM will now likely break down through the 48 WMA and not look back until the temporary late Dec XMas rise.

     I have not seen an IWM daily chart similar to this before...

ExpO T ETFs:  XIV, NYSE, NASX, DJT, IWM, QQQ, RSP, SPY,  XLF, XLV,   VEU, VGK,   UUP, FXE,   TLT, IEF, LQD,   HYG,   GLD,   USO.


                                                                                                                        Signals/Positions, refer to ExpO T page.

%24AXTAO60617.png

ASTRO  TAO  4 -7      1 - 25 chart update. Transiting  Planetary  Effects as related to the NYSE, and Global Equities and Assets.


     THE ASTRO  TAO (RED)  5-16-16 to 6-6-17, with the NYSE (BLACK) and Astro Sub Indexes.  TAO is an objective Transit Aspect Oscillator, and is ending a 7 month rise.   TAO is primarily Global Psychological Index.TAO >Zero & Rising = optimism.  TAO <Zero & Falling = pessimism and asset devaluation.  From early March, TAO goes below zero = pessimism and negative events dominate = equities/assets sustain declines.

     This TAO model was created in 1985, modified in 2016, and has a positive, 1:10,000 (p < 0.0001), n = 12,064, Pearson correlation,

TAO with DJIA, 1900 - present.  TAO is 100% objective: numbers in = planetary angular separations, then Sine formula, = TAO oscillator out.

01/23/17:    The W.H.O. ICD-10 Dx Manual:  The US Pres = 5 major Personality disorders: 1) Narcissistic, 2) Histrionic,

                     3) Emotionally Unstable, 4) Paranoid and 5) Antisocial (to varying degrees) = DJT is a global risk.  "Wild Man" "Con Don". 

                     DJT's  Dx's are entrenched for life.  For DJT, all "perceived" threats become "real", and are attacked.  Early dementia/ALZ.

Postings are usually >=20min delayed     Monday aft and Thursday am away for bridge.

    

                               Tactical ExpO X & XX models (time frame minutes to days)


11 - 17  1500cst..1440 Holding unless stopped

                1230 Buying TZA,  1220 a possible tza soon.  1031 Exiting.


                 Buy         Date   Time        Price      Stop     Sell Date  Time         Price        %       Model

In              TZA        11/17  1230        13.42     13.42         E XX

Exit           TZA        11/16  1236        13.55                       11/17  1031         13.65s     0.7      E XX

Exit           TZA        11/15  1351        14.21L                     11/16  0830         14.13    -  0.6      E XX

Exit           TZA        11/15  1028        14.18                       11/15  1123         14.18s  -  0.0      E XX

Exit           TZA        11/14  0847        14.09L                     11/15  0840         14.60       3.6      E XX

Exit           TZA        11/10  1400        13.94                       11/13  0905         14.21       1.9      E XX

Exit           TZA        11/10  0925        13.96                       11/10  1000         13.96    -  0.0      E XX

Exit           TZA        11/09  1324        14.05                       11/09  1438         14.05s  -  0.0      E XX



  L =limit   s = stop                   Tactical primarily uses:     ETF = Expo T  Fast    ETVF = Expo T  Very Fast
      (Volatility: Only on VIX Trades & Hx) 


ExpO  T  Tactical  Stats

From  01/25/17            Net%+/--    #    #+  #-      W%  L%         Sum+   Sum-    Ave%+   Ave%-

EQUITY  ETFs                     159.5         129   74   55         58     42             195.4     - 35.9         2.5         - 0.7

11 - 17  1200cst..          (NOTES: BELOW CHARTS)


ExpO       Exponential Oscillator Trends:   Both Tactical (Hours/Days) and Strategic (Days/Weeks/Months)

Charts     NYSE ExpO  Z   11 - 3 (below), NEW Technical IWM  (11 - 02),    Astro  TAO  4-7 update (05/16/16 - 6/6/17)

TAO        Transit Aspect Oscillators:   Astro scientific indexes.   Transit aspects as they affect global status.

                     Early October: the protective Jupiter/Saturn sextile ends.  Negative effect through March 2023.


11 - 17:    1200.   An XIV sell reversal probable today.

11 - 13:    1817-1822, 1917-1922, 2017-2022 global resets.

11 -  9:     The non-tax plan man cometh...

11 -  9:     USD reverses short (ExpO T).   09-20: Post FED, USD likely strengthens

08 - 24:    Eclipse, a lingering negative astro effect, destabilizing, and DJT unraveling (Eclipse on his Ascendant)

ExpO__Z__092717.pngIWMDy110217.png

NYSE  ExpO Z  11-03-17 close.                            Exponential Oscillator   (zeroed, max/min 600/-600 98%)


       The ExpO Z is a combination of 5 components of 1 primary NYSE exponential oscillator.

The Zero line is important.  There are 3 primary signal measures used.  At this time, NYSE ExpO Z has normalized to near the zero line.  Equities will likely stall for 1-2 weeks, then decline.