Expo  ETF  Trading                                                          Richard  Schulz

    

     Exponential Oscillators:   18 ETFs  Expo T      Markets: Stocks, Bonds, Currencies, Gold, Oil


Disclaimer:

SOMC tries to ensure that the information provided is complete and correct, but does not warranty its accuracy or reliability.  Information and opinions may change without notice, so readers are advised to check any material items(s) with an adviser before making any decisions.  SOMC is for information purposes only, and does not constitute any kind of investment advice.  It should also be noted that simulated performance is not a guide to future performance.  Neither is past performance a necessarily reliable indicator of future performance.  No return of capital is implied or guaranteed.  There is a risk of loss of capital whenever money is invested, and we do not hold ourselves responsible for your stock trading or investing decisions.  No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to any presented or discussed here.  Absolutely consult your registered financial advisor and your risk trading plan before ever investing or trading any financial instrument.   All intellectual property rights in SOMC and website are, and at all times remain, the property of Richard Frank Schulz.  The content of Schulz on Market Cycles (in particular, the TAO 2, future generations of the TAO, the TAOscope, TAOgraph, TAOtransits, TAOtrader, and other TAO products), are protected by copyright.  The reproduction or duplication of information or data, especially the use of terms, wording, figures or graphs, is subject to prior approval of Richard Frank Schulz.

Transit Aspect Oscillator  A Global (personal) Psychological and Economic Indicator

       TAO 9 Applications:

        To the best of my knowledge, from Donald Bradley's efforts in the 1960's to the present time, there has not been a published astronomical oscillator correlating real-time with global stock indexes as the TAO 9 does. The study of the mathematical nature of the TAO  and its correlations with multiple realms of human activities has the potential to become a new field of scientific endeavor.
       The three TAO values (short, intermediate, and long term) and trends have statistical reliability and significance, and, therefore, probable predictive value  relative to global stock prices.  The creation of the TAO oscillators has been a 30 year project.   
       The rise and fall of global psychological optimism and pessimism correlate with the rise and fall of global wealth, as measured by stock prices. When the TAO 9 is below zero and falling, fear and pessimism dominate, manifesting in stock market declines.  When the TAO 9 is above zero and rising, happiness and optimism dominate, synchronistic, statistically, with rising stock market prices.  
      SOMC combines the TAO 9's intrinsic value with 25+ years of  technical market analysis and developing technical trading systems to time the price movements of the stock and commodity markets effectively.
      The graph of the aspectarian (that assigns positive and negative numbers to every degree of planetary pair angular separation) is not shown.  This graph (not shown) happens to validate some traditional astrological tenets on the nature of aspects. The TAO 9, however, is strictly astronomical and mathematical.  SOMC uses both the TAO 9 and relatively simple mechanical models to time and trade  intermediate and long term.

.....

CONTACT:   richardschulz12@yahoo.com             

Richard Frank Schulz 

07/ 09/ 1950, 1510 est, Detroit, MI, USA 
Bachelor of Science, 1978         

Master of Science, Clinical Psychology, 1987

TAO 9 available:


1)  TAO 9 1980-2015 and 1997-2015 graphs with a 3 page explanation

     2015 Financial Forecast included.

              $25.00    PayPal, Check, Money Order, etc., (USD or equivalent)

              Sent via snail mail only, please provide mailing address


2)  Subcription:   Not available currently  ($ 225/ year, $50/ 2months)

     a) The above hard copies of the TAO 9 graphs and explanation

     b) Real-time Equity, Bond, Gold and VIX positions and alerts, emailed

     c) Weekly commentary and technical charts


 www.PayPal.com   richardschulz12@yahoo.com

Richard Schulz
2240 Arizona Ave.
ROCKFORD, IL   61108-7503

815-398-5093

 


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SOMC Purposes:   10/21/16


1) Explore the EMA Oscillators across bi-daily and hourly data, and 5+ diverse ETF sectors

2) TAO 9 research: scientific astro cyclical advances, with multiple real world, real time applications

3) Timely technical charts and analysis: Stocks/ETFs usually, with some Bonds and Gold

4) Publish statistically sound Planetary cycles studies, whether positive or negative correlations

5) Utilize 30yrs of Astro and Trading experience



NOTES                                                                                                                  

3 - 28 0640: Leaving for the funeral soon.  3/28 ended in a TZA buying range.  The caveat: irregular SOMC updates.  Safety first...

3 - 27 0730: Strategic Expo T is in TZA from 2-22, 0830, $17.49, and is locked in this week.  Tactical Expo T was too chaotic to hold 3/24.

                  From ~ 0900 3/28 to ~1300 3/30, I will be traveling to Florida for a funeral.  Ergo, updates sporadic.  This pm I am back in court for

                  another session of the murder trial (of my wife's younger brother).  Important personally, yes.  The world has bigger problems...

                  Equities: moving into the more active "plunge period" of the decline.  Safety first...

3 - 24 0600: It is critically serious in the US right now.  Critically.  Dangerous globally.  And unpredictable how "Wild Man" will lash out next.

                  Today, the 1-2 day equity rally ends...

3 - 23 0720: Equity trend lower. 1-2 day rallies occur. We're in one.  As with Buffett sometimes, this am, playing bridge wins...

3 - 22 0730: 3-1 "legislative void".  3-15 "Hindenberg omen alive and well" & is intact.  3-21  The equity plunge ensues.

3 - 21 0700: Churning.  The equity trends remain short.  Leaving today @1040.

3 - 20 0740: XIV declining: that is sufficient, for now.

3 - 17 0800: XIV is into the stratosphere, and beyond.  Expo Ts are mixed/confused?  Patience at the moment...

3 - 16 0740: Sometimes an unexpected up before the down.  Try again, today higher early, then lower into April.

3 - 15 0740: Comey and Yellen...  Today, equities higher, then lower.  Hindenberg omen alive and well...

3 - 14 0700: 2061, a benign figure, & the # of years since Julius Caesar's Ides. Et tu, equities and the DJT bloat. Today, lower & lower...

3 - 13 0730: The 2nd rally day, and the end.  Today, equities choppy early, weakening later.  Health care: single payer, no profit off the ill...


02/17 0700: The illusion that DJT policies can ever be funded, much less work, is persistent.  Awaiting the arrival of the tidal waves of health system, budget, immigration and foreign policy dysfunction.


        Expo T  STRATEGIC           and            Technical  Charts

TAO 9 :   Brief TAO 9 summary and TAO 8 Graph


    The TAO 8 correlated with the SP 500, 1/1/1980 through 08/31/2014 PPMC is p < .0001, >1:10,000 against chance.    

          Pearson Product-Moment Correlation for TAO 8 and SP 500:   n=3602,   r=+0.48, p < .0001, which means that the TAO 8 correlated positively with the SP 500, both rising and falling, greater than 1:10,000 against chance.  This strength of correlation implies a causal mechanism, which is yet unknown.  As a comparison, to be very sure that the long sought after Higgs boson had been found, scientists used a 1:10,000 confidence level: p <.0001.  Current modern physics has no viable mechanism for explaining the TAO 8 results.  That is for future generations.

    TAO 9 Transiting Aspect Oscillator is a compilation of four fundamental primary concepts and functions:

1)  An Aspectarian based upon the weighted harmonics of the numbers 2 and 3, which gives positive/negative values to the transiting angular separation of each planetary pair

2)  The selection of 25 specific transiting planetary pairs used in the TAO 8 calculations

3)  Mathematical summations of those Aspectarian values (both exponential and unique astro averages) to generate the Quick TAO, Slow TAO and TAO 9

4)  Zeroing those summations over the selected time frames to create scientifically applicable oscillators

 

     The TAO 9 is a 100% mathematical, quantitative, zeroed oscillator that can be compared to real world, real time realms of human life.  The TAO 8 happens to highly correlate with the Global equities markets, and other financial, social and political measures.   The TAO 8 is a Directional Astronomical Indicator.

     As TAO 9 rises, Global Psychology tends to rise and equities/assets tend to gain value reliably (1:10,000 against chance).  When the TAO 9 falls, Global Psychology declines, pessimism emerges, and equities/assets tend to fall in value.

T812514300png.jpg

TAO 8: 1/ 1/ 1997 to 3/ 31/ 2014    Vertical is yearly/quarterly.

                TAO 8, red. Quick TAO, blue. Slow TAO, orange.  SP 500, black. SP 500, BLS Inflation Adjusted, light black and the lowest equity cycle on the graph.

8/ 11/ 14:   The TAO 8 is a zeroed oscillator, now falling from its highest peak, yet for all of early 2014 favors optimism. All declines have been brief and bought.  The Russell 2000, frequently a trend leader, has shown the greatest weakness.  And now with the steepening TAO 8 decline will come increased pessimism, depressing events, social unrest, political instability and asset vulnerability.  The 2015 season will favor selling equity rallies.



The TAO 9: An astro economic indicator, similar to but distinct from the Bradley model

     1)  100% objective, mathematical, astronomic and scientific Transiting Aspect Oscillator

     2)  A real-time, directional astro indicator, now with more than 1:10,000 significance

             a) TAO 9 high/rising brings optimism, raises equities, asset values and stability

             b) TAO 9 low/falling activates pessimism, erodes assets and adds social instability

     3)  SOMC: Integration of astro, cycles, and technical indicators for investment positions


TAO 8 graph, 1997 - 3/31/2014 below

SPY  Strategic   Expo T    5/16 to Present

SPY  Expo T   Strategic:    Sum%    T#    G#   L#     %G   %L    T G%  T L%   AveG% AveL%

5/16/16 - Present                21.0       16    11     5       68     32     25.3   - 4.3        2.5      - 0.8

3 - 30 cdt   1100 Returned

   

Expo  T     Exponential Oscillator Trends:   Both Tactical (Hours/Days) and Strategic (Days/Weeks/Months)

Charts      Technical    Expo T   (02/24),     IWM   (03/03)  and   Astro  TAO   (05/16/16 - 6/6/17)     below

TAO         Transit Aspect Oscillators:   Astro scientific indexes.   Transit aspects as they affect global events.

                    The 2/26 South Node Eclipse effects remain: a rendevous with illusions, delusions and dissolutions.

                    Also all USA alliances undermined, internally and externally.  Legislative fracturing...

          

3 - 29:      3-1 "legislative void".  3-15 "Hindenberg omen alive and well" & is intact.  3-21  The equity plunge ensues.

2 - 22:      STRATEGIC Expo T (days/weeks):  In TZA   2 - 22, 0830, 17.49

NYSE   EXPO T   Exponential  Oscillator  Values:    (2 data/day)   +1000/-1000 Max/Min

   

Mar             1S  2S  3S   6S  7S   8S  9S 10S 13S 14S 15S 16S 17S 20S 21S 22S 23S 24S 27S 28S

ET    0930   531 550 548 540 527 507 483 466  464 457  456 482  507 520 517  478 453  437 416

        1430   544 551 548 534 517 494 471  464 465 452  468 494  514 521 500  464 443  430 410

Fast  0930    71  80   73   60   43  23  - 1   -15 -18  - 22  - 22   0    21   31   28  -  5  - 28  - 39  -54

        1430    78  78   69   52   32  10  - 11  -18 -16  - 25  - 12  10   27   31   13  - 17 - 36  - 44  -57

Slow 0930   578 593 597 600 601 598 591 585 585 580  579 589  599  604 605  590 581  574 562

        1430   587 596 601 601 600 594 587 585 585 578  584 594  602  605 598  585 577  570 559


IWM    EXPO T  Values     (2 data/day)       +1000/-1000 Max/Min      Dates with opening Signal

Mar             1S  2S  3S  6S  7S  8S   9S 10S 13S 14S 15S 16S 17S 20S 21S 22S 23S 24S 27S 28S

ET    0930   08 519 510 495 478 458 436 414 406  395  397 420  439  457 458  419 389  377 359

        1430   15 517 506 486 467 446 423 408 404  392  407 429  449  462 442  401 381  371 358

Fast  0930   24  30   22   9   -  5 - 20 - 34 -48  -51  -54  - 49  -29  - 11    4    6    -21 - 42   -49  -57

        1430   28  28   17   2   - 13 - 28 - 43 -51  -50  -54  - 40  -20  -  2    8  - 5    -34 - 47   -51  -56

Slow 0930   39 546 544 540  535 528 518 507 501 492  489 494  496  503 502  485 474  467 455

        1430   43 546 543 538  531 523 512 503 498 489  491 496  501  504 495  478 469  462 453

IWM 03/03/17  0855 Daily.

     3-1 probably was The high for a long time.  The ma's have or soon will roll short.  The MACD has now posted its primary lower high over the last 3 month period.  The 1st MACD lower highs usually produce corrections.  This 2nd primary lower high precedes outright liquidation selling.  XIV is again selling this am at 66.16.  The canary is keeling over...

2 - 24   Expo T,   Expo T Fast,   Expo T Slow           NYSE       5/16/16 - 02/24/17

     Expo T is a composite of Exponential Oscillators and EO Sums.  It is zeroed, with a range of +1000 to -1000.

This Expo T graph is for NYSE bi-daily data. 


3 - 28  0630  Expo T:    STRATEGIC    Refer Expo T page



      XIV,  NYSE,  NASX,  DJT,  IWM,  QQQ,  RSP,  SPY,  XLF,  XLV,  VEU,  VGK.      UUP,  FXE.     TLT,  IEF, LQD, HYG.     GLD.     USO.

  2016  
   B /S
 NYSE   + / -
     %
 % SUM
 16 May
 S 1430
 206.60      
      0       0
 24 May
 B 0930
 205.90     0.7
    0.3     0.3
 10 Jun
 S 1430
 210.00     4.1
    2.0
    2.3
 23 Jun
 B 0930
 209.80     0.2
    0.1
    2.4
 24 Jun
 S 0930
 206.00   - 3.8
  - 1.8
    0.6
 28 Jun
 B 0930
 201.20     4.8
    2.3
    2.9
 25 Aug
 S 1430
 217.60   16.4
    8.1
   11.0
 02 Sep
 B 1430
 218.40
  - 0.8
  - 0.4
   10.6
 09 Sep
 S 0930
 216.20
  - 2.2
  - 1.0
    9.6
 27 Sep
 B 1430
 215.60
    0.6
    0.3
    9.9 
 11 Oct
 S 0930
 214.60
  - 1.0
  - 0.5
    9.4
 18 Oct
 B 1430
 213.70     0.9
    0.4
    9.8
 25 Oct
 S 1430
 214.20     0.5
    0.2
  10.0
 07 Nov
 B 0930
 211.90     2.3
    1.0
  11.0
 28 Dec
 S 1430
 224.50   12.6
    5.9
  16.9
 04 Jan
 B 0930
 225.80   - 1.3
  - 0.6
  16.3
 23 Feb
 S 1430 
 236.50   10.7  
    4.7
  21.0
           
           
           
%24AXTAO60617.png

ASTRO  TAO     Transiting  Planetary  Effects as related to the NYSE    (and Global Equity Markets)


     THE ASTRO  TAO (RED)  5-16-16 to 6-6-17, with the NYSE (BLACK) and Astro Sub Indexes.    The TAO is an Objective

Transit Aspect Oscillator, and is ending a 7mth rise (end June 2016 to present).  The current TAO high coincides with peaking NYSE Values and Global Equity/Economic Sentiment.  Given the TAO Graph,  the Astro TAO FORECAST is for an extended decline in the NYSE and Sentiment, into at least June. = The start of the Global Equity Bear Market, and several economic/political crises.

1/23/17:    The W.H.O. ICD-10 Dx Manual:  The US Pres = 5 major Personality disorders: 1) Narcissistic, 2) Histrionic,

                  3) Emotionally Unstable, 4) Paranoid and 5) Antisocial (to varying degrees) = DJT is a global risk.  "Wild Man". 

                  DJT's  Dx's are entrenched for life.  The sole recourse and remedy is to Impeach, asap, 3/21 &/or incarcerate.

3 - 30  1435:   TACTICAL Expo (Hrs-Dys)...1137 Buying TZA.  1112 Exiting


                  Buy         Date  Time       Price      Stop   Sell  Date  Time      Price          %       Model

In              TZA        03/30  1137       18.30     18.04         ETVF  (holding into 3-31)

Exit           TZA        03/29  1330       18.48L                     03/30  1112     18.38      -   0.5      ETVF

Exit           TZA        03/27  1230       19.36                       03/27  1400     19.29     -   0.4      ETVF

Exit           TZA        03/24  1440       19.12L                     03/24  1500     19.30         1.0      ETVF

Exit           TZA        03/24  0957       18.91L                     03/24  1420     19.51         3.1      ETVF

Exit           TZA        03/23  1400       19.15                       03/24  0830     19.11      -  0.2      ETVF

Exit           TZA        03/22  1140       20.02                       03/22  1205     20.16L       0.7      ETVF

Exit           TQQQ    03/22  0859       83.45L                     03/22  1050     84.80         1.6      ETVF

Exit           TZA        03/16  1335      18.08L                      03/22  0831     19.98L     10.5      ETVF


L =limit   s = stop                       Tactical Primarily uses:         ETF = Expo T  Fast         ETVF = Expo T  Very Fast
(Volatility: Only on VIX Trades & Hx)


Tactical  Stats

From  01/25/17            Net%+/--   #     #+  #-      W%  L%         Sum+   Sum-    Ave%+   Ave%-

EQUITY  ETFs                      46.2          32    18   14         56     44              51.8      - 5.6          2.8         - 0.4          

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