Expo  ETF  Trading                                                          Richard  Schulz

    

     Exponential Oscillators:   18 ETFs  Expo T      Markets: Stocks, Bonds, Currencies, Gold, Oil


Disclaimer:

SOMC tries to ensure that the information provided is complete and correct, but does not warranty its accuracy or reliability.  Information and opinions may change without notice, so readers are advised to check any material items(s) with an adviser before making any decisions.  SOMC is for information purposes only, and does not constitute any kind of investment advice.  It should also be noted that simulated performance is not a guide to future performance.  Neither is past performance a necessarily reliable indicator of future performance.  No return of capital is implied or guaranteed.  There is a risk of loss of capital whenever money is invested, and we do not hold ourselves responsible for your stock trading or investing decisions.  No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to any presented or discussed here.  Absolutely consult your registered financial advisor and your risk trading plan before ever investing or trading any financial instrument.   All intellectual property rights in SOMC and website are, and at all times remain, the property of Richard Frank Schulz.  The content of Schulz on Market Cycles (in particular, the TAO 2, future generations of the TAO, the TAOscope, TAOgraph, TAOtransits, TAOtrader, and other TAO products), are protected by copyright.  The reproduction or duplication of information or data, especially the use of terms, wording, figures or graphs, is subject to prior approval of Richard Frank Schulz.

Transit Aspect Oscillator  A Global (personal) Psychological and Economic Indicator

       TAO 9 Applications:

        To the best of my knowledge, from Donald Bradley's efforts in the 1960's to the present time, there has not been a published astronomical oscillator correlating real-time with global stock indexes as the TAO 9 does. The study of the mathematical nature of the TAO  and its correlations with multiple realms of human activities has the potential to become a new field of scientific endeavor.
       The three TAO values (short, intermediate, and long term) and trends have statistical reliability and significance, and, therefore, probable predictive value  relative to global stock prices.  The creation of the TAO oscillators has been a 30 year project.   
       The rise and fall of global psychological optimism and pessimism correlate with the rise and fall of global wealth, as measured by stock prices. When the TAO 9 is below zero and falling, fear and pessimism dominate, manifesting in stock market declines.  When the TAO 9 is above zero and rising, happiness and optimism dominate, synchronistic, statistically, with rising stock market prices.  
      SOMC combines the TAO 9's intrinsic value with 25+ years of  technical market analysis and developing technical trading systems to time the price movements of the stock and commodity markets effectively.
      The graph of the aspectarian (that assigns positive and negative numbers to every degree of planetary pair angular separation) is not shown.  This graph (not shown) happens to validate some traditional astrological tenets on the nature of aspects. The TAO 9, however, is strictly astronomical and mathematical.  SOMC uses both the TAO 9 and relatively simple mechanical models to time and trade  intermediate and long term.

.....

CONTACT:   richardschulz12@yahoo.com             

Richard Frank Schulz 

07/ 09/ 1950, 1510 est, Detroit, MI, USA 
Bachelor of Science, 1978         

Master of Science, Clinical Psychology, 1987

TAO 9 available:


1)  TAO 9 1980-2015 and 1997-2015 graphs with a 3 page explanation

     2015 Financial Forecast included.

              $25.00    PayPal, Check, Money Order, etc., (USD or equivalent)

              Sent via snail mail only, please provide mailing address


2)  Subcription:   Not available currently  ($ 225/ year, $50/ 2months)

     a) The above hard copies of the TAO 9 graphs and explanation

     b) Real-time Equity, Bond, Gold and VIX positions and alerts, emailed

     c) Weekly commentary and technical charts


 www.PayPal.com   richardschulz12@yahoo.com

Richard Schulz
2240 Arizona Ave.
ROCKFORD, IL   61108-7503

815-398-5093

 


mepicture091209.jpg

SOMC Purposes:   10/21/16


1) Explore the EMA Oscillators across bi-daily and hourly data, and 5+ diverse ETF sectors

2) TAO 9 research: scientific astro cyclical advances, with multiple real world, real time applications

3) Timely technical charts and analysis: Stocks/ETFs usually, with some Bonds and Gold

4) Publish statistically sound Planetary cycles studies, whether positive or negative correlations

5) Utilize 30yrs of Astro and Trading experience



NOTES...   2017                                                                                                                        

02/24 0700: The Expo T signals are posted.  This is the week of major reversals.  XIV gave the 1st clue on 2/16...

02/23 0400: I can finalize about 3 Expo T ETFs per day.  5 completed so far and away this am.

02/17 0700: The illusion that DJT policies can ever be funded, much less work, is persistent.  The shore is glistening prior to the arrival of the tidal waves of health system, budget, immigration and foreign policy dysfunction.

02/16 0730: We are now well within the Astro Trend change period (Merriman); the TAO is eroding, and the 2/26 Eclipse nears. Today, lower equity bias. With the ongoing Expo T modifications, many trend reversals for next week. 

02/15 0600: Marginally functional, ill.  Today, the beginning of equity weakness.  ETVFs nearing/at extremes.

02/14 0700: At least I can sit up today.  Leaving at 1030 for the day.  Nothing on the radar for equities.

02/13 0730: I uncovered a fundamental Expo T zeroing error, resulting in recent erroneous signals.  My apologies.  Currently, some ETVF high extremes are being approached.  Today, somc stays short.

02/10 0730: Overnight, consolidating 2/9.  Today, favoring equity highs early, into a lower close.

02/09 0700: The Expo T models, all time frames, = stalled...waiting on the impending Eclipse to incite "events"/activity...  The definite favored outcome is an equity downside breakout.  Meanwhile, patience.

02/08 0700: Now for the Eclipse effects.  Even Nasx & AAPL/GS driven Dow will roll short 2/8-9-10...as the US Gov unravels...

02/07 0800: Many Expo T shifts 2/6.  Today, a day of digestion, followed by indigestion...  The 2/26 Eclipse nears, and over the next 3+ weeks, many more upheavals, disillusions, disbeliefs (the unbelievables happen), floods of grief, figuratively and literally...

02/06 0800: Global equities (markets) coiled.  Equities to break lower, US/German bonds higher, Currencies & Gold neutral, Oil lower.

02/03 0740: NFP neutral, with a post futures rally.  Today, equity highs early, and ideally with a lower close.

02/02 0700: The Expo T page is active, and usable.  More to be added.  As the TAO and technical factors erode...  The first 2017 major equity lows due in April.  NFP 2/3, at best producing an early equity spike = a selling opportunity...

02/01 1500: A major change for the use of this site.  Expo T Tactical (Fast) in tandem with Expo T Strategic (Slower).  This offers longer term positioning with shorter term trading, utilizing Expo T's multiple time frame potentials.

01/31 0700: Wild/Nuts man (the Pres, with 2 Personality disorders, and then some) continues swinging = equity shorting benefits.  In the past, money has bought W/N man some immunity from the consequences of his actions.  Now, "The Emperor has no clothes"...


        Expo T  STRATEGIC           and            Technical  Charts

TAO 9 :   Brief TAO 9 summary and TAO 8 Graph


    The TAO 8 correlated with the SP 500, 1/1/1980 through 08/31/2014 PPMC is p < .0001, >1:10,000 against chance.    

          Pearson Product-Moment Correlation for TAO 8 and SP 500:   n=3602,   r=+0.48, p < .0001, which means that the TAO 8 correlated positively with the SP 500, both rising and falling, greater than 1:10,000 against chance.  This strength of correlation implies a causal mechanism, which is yet unknown.  As a comparison, to be very sure that the long sought after Higgs boson had been found, scientists used a 1:10,000 confidence level: p <.0001.  Current modern physics has no viable mechanism for explaining the TAO 8 results.  That is for future generations.

    TAO 9 Transiting Aspect Oscillator is a compilation of four fundamental primary concepts and functions:

1)  An Aspectarian based upon the weighted harmonics of the numbers 2 and 3, which gives positive/negative values to the transiting angular separation of each planetary pair

2)  The selection of 25 specific transiting planetary pairs used in the TAO 8 calculations

3)  Mathematical summations of those Aspectarian values (both exponential and unique astro averages) to generate the Quick TAO, Slow TAO and TAO 9

4)  Zeroing those summations over the selected time frames to create scientifically applicable oscillators

 

     The TAO 9 is a 100% mathematical, quantitative, zeroed oscillator that can be compared to real world, real time realms of human life.  The TAO 8 happens to highly correlate with the Global equities markets, and other financial, social and political measures.   The TAO 8 is a Directional Astronomical Indicator.

     As TAO 9 rises, Global Psychology tends to rise and equities/assets tend to gain value reliably (1:10,000 against chance).  When the TAO 9 falls, Global Psychology declines, pessimism emerges, and equities/assets tend to fall in value.

T812514300png.jpg

TAO 8: 1/ 1/ 1997 to 3/ 31/ 2014    Vertical is yearly/quarterly.

                TAO 8, red. Quick TAO, blue. Slow TAO, orange.  SP 500, black. SP 500, BLS Inflation Adjusted, light black and the lowest equity cycle on the graph.

8/ 11/ 14:   The TAO 8 is a zeroed oscillator, now falling from its highest peak, yet for all of early 2014 favors optimism. All declines have been brief and bought.  The Russell 2000, frequently a trend leader, has shown the greatest weakness.  And now with the steepening TAO 8 decline will come increased pessimism, depressing events, social unrest, political instability and asset vulnerability.  The 2015 season will favor selling equity rallies.



The TAO 9: An astro economic indicator, similar to but distinct from the Bradley model

     1)  100% objective, mathematical, astronomic and scientific Transiting Aspect Oscillator

     2)  A real-time, directional astro indicator, now with more than 1:10,000 significance

             a) TAO 9 high/rising brings optimism, raises equities, asset values and stability

             b) TAO 9 low/falling activates pessimism, erodes assets and adds social instability

     3)  SOMC: Integration of astro, cycles, and technical indicators for investment positions


TAO 8 graph, 1997 - 3/31/2014 below

SPY  Strategic   Expo T    5/16 to Present

SPY  Expo T   Strategic:    Sum%    T#    G#   L#     %G   %L    T G%  T L%   AveG% AveL%

5/16/16 - Present                17.8       16    11     5       68     32     22.1   - 4.3        2.0      - 0.8

02/26 cst  New Expo T graph   

   

Expo  T      Exponential Oscillator Trends:   Both Tactical (Hours/Days) and Strategic (Days/Weeks/Months)

Charts       Technical    Expo T   NEW (02/24),      SPY   (01/08)  and    Astro  TAO   (05/16/16 - 6/6/17)     below

TAO           Transit Aspect Oscillators:   Astro scientific indexes.   Transit aspects as they affect global events.

                    2/9   The 2/26 South Node Eclipse nears: a rendevous with illusions, delusions and dissolutions...


2/24            The Expo T page has the current ETF signals.  Eclipse 2/26.  Equity April lows.

NYSE   EXPO T   values     (2 data/day)       +1000/-1000 Max/Min      2-24   EQUITIES ALL SHORT    

FEB            6B  7B   8B  9B 10B 13B 14B 15B 16B 17B 21B 22B 23B 24S 27S

ET    0930   343 350 343 349 370 401  431 460  487 498 512  529 537  535

        1430   346 349 343 358 383 421  448 476  495 502 523  534 540  530

Fast  0930    16   20  14   17   32   54   75   93  108 109  111  115 112  100

        1430    18   19  13   23   42   69   86  103  110 107  115  114 109   92

Slow 0930   404 407 406 410 420 435  451 469  487 500 515  532 545  554

        1430   405 407 406 415 427 446  461 479  495 506 525  539 551  557


IWM    EXPO T    values     (2 data/day)       +1000/-1000 Max/Min      Dates with opening Signal

FEB            6B  7B   8B  9B 10B 13B 14B 15B 16B 17B 21B 22B 23B 24S 27S

ET    0930   415 421 410 411 430 456  475 491  509  513 521 532 528  515    

        1430   417 418 406 419 441 467  484 502  512  514 528 533 523  509

Fast  0930     9   13    6    5   17    35   47   55    63   61   61   63   55   40

        1430    11   11    2   10   25   42   51   61    63   59   63   62   49    33

Slow 0930   460 463 459 460 469 481 490  501  513  519 528 539 542  542

        1430   461 462 458 464 474 486 496  508  516  523 534 542 543  542


GLD, FXE, TLT/IEF, USO  (maybe VEU) Probable Expo T  value additions to cover the 5 major sectors.

SPY 01/06/17  Daily  1500 Close.

     SPY is positioned similarly with early Sep 2016: 1) No new highs for the last

3 weeks.  2) Lower MACD lows at/below 2.0  3) Narrow BBs (16,1.0).  The 1/6 breakout above the upper 1.0 BB is therefore suspect.  = A sharp 10% decline

into April 2017 is anticipated, pausing near 224.00, then breaking the Nov 4 lows.

  

2 - 24   Expo T,   Expo T Fast,   Expo T Slow           NYSE       5/16/16 - 02/24/17

     Expo T is a composite of Exponential Oscillators and EO Sums.  It is zeroed, with a range of +1000 to -1000.

This Expo T graph is for NYSE bi-daily data. 


02/24 0700  Expo T:    STRATEGIC   Short:  Equities, Oil     Long:  Bonds, Gold, Volatility.     Signals posted on Expo T



    20 Expo's:     NYSE,  NASX,  DJT,  IWM,  QQQ,  RSP,  SPY,  XLF,  XLV,  XIV,  VEU,  VGK.     UUP,  FXE.     TLT,  IEF, LQD, HYG.     GLD.     USO.


2 -24  Expo T values for  NYSE,  NASX,  IWM,  XIV        FXE      LQD     GLD    USO      to be posted daily (probably by 2/27)

  2016  
   B /S
 NYSE   + / -
     %
 % SUM
 16 May
 S 1430
 206.60      
      0       0
 24 May
 B 0930
 205.90     0.7
    0.3     0.3
 10 Jun
 S 1430
 210.00     4.1
    2.0
    2.3
 23 Jun
 B 0930
 209.80     0.2
    0.1
    2.4
 24 Jun
 S 0930
 206.00   - 3.8
  - 1.8
    0.6
 28 Jun
 B 0930
 201.20     4.8
    2.3
    2.9
 25 Aug
 S 1430
 217.60   16.4
    8.1
   11.0
 02 Sep
 B 1430
 218.40
  - 0.8
  - 0.4
   10.6
 09 Sep
 S 0930
 216.20
  - 2.2
  - 1.0
    9.6
 27 Sep
 B 1430
 215.60
    0.6
    0.3
    9.9 
 11 Oct
 S 0930
 214.60
  - 1.0
  - 0.5
    9.4
 18 Oct
 B 1430
 213.70     0.9
    0.4
    9.8
 25 Oct
 S 1430
 214.20     0.5
    0.2
  10.0
 07 Nov
 B 0930
 211.90     2.3
    1.0
  11.0
 28 Dec
 S 1430
 224.50   12.6
    5.9
  16.9
 04 Jan
 B 0930
 225.80   - 1.3
  - 0.6
  16.3
 
 
    
 
 
           
           
           
SPYDy010617.png%24AXTAO60617.png

ASTRO  TAO     Transiting  Planetary  Effects as related to the NYSE    (and Global Equity Markets)


     THE ASTRO  TAO (RED)  5-16-16 to 6-6-17, with the NYSE (BLACK) and Astro Sub Indexes.    The TAO is an Objective

Transit Aspect Oscillator, and is ending a 7mth rise (end June 2016 to present).  The current TAO high coincides with peaking NYSE Values and Global Equity/Economic Sentiment.  Given the TAO Graph,  the Astro TAO FORECAST is for an extended decline in the NYSE and Sentiment, into at least June. = The start of the Global Equity Bear Market, and several economic/political crises.

1/23/17:    The W.H.O. ICD-10 Dx Manual:  The US Pres = 5 major Personality disorders: 1) Narcissistic, 2) Histrionic,

                  3) Emotionally Unstable, 4) Paranoid and 5) Antisocial (to varying degrees) = DJT is a global risk.  "Wild Man". 

                  DJT's  Dx's are entrenched for life.  The sole recourse and remedy is to Impeach...asap...then cope with Pence....

02/24  1400:   TACTICAL Expo (Hrs-Dys)...1010 Buying TZA 18.04Limit.  0930 Exiting

                                                                                                

                 Buy         Date  Time       Price      Stop    Sell  Date   Time     Price          %      Model

In             TZA        02/24  1012     18.04L    17.81          ETVF

Exit           TZA        02/22  0948     17.52                        02/24 0930     18.26         4.2     ETVF

Exit           TZA        02/21  0923     17.40                        02/22  0900    17.60         1.1     ETVF

Exit           TZA        02/17  0918     17.88L                      02/21  0830    17.72     -   0.9     ETVF

Exit           TZA        02/15  1416     17.60L                      02/16  1027    18.08         2.7     ETVF


L =limit   s = stop                       Tactical Primarily uses:         ETF = Expo T  Fast         ETVF = Expo T  Very Fast
(Volatility: Only on VIX Trades & Hx)


Tactical  Stats

From  01/25/17            Net%+/--   #     #+  #-    W%  L%      Sum+   Sum-    Ave%+   Ave%-

EQUITY  ETFs                          16.2           14     7     7        50      50           20.2       - 3..1          2.9           - 0.5          

%24ExpoY022417.png