Expo  ETF  Trading                                                          Richard  Schulz

    

     Exponential Oscillators:   18 ETFs  Expo T      Markets: Stocks, Bonds, Currencies, Gold, Oil


Disclaimer:

SOMC tries to ensure that the information provided is complete and correct, but does not warranty its accuracy or reliability.  Information and opinions may change without notice, so readers are advised to check any material items(s) with an adviser before making any decisions.  SOMC is for information purposes only, and does not constitute any kind of investment advice.  It should also be noted that simulated performance is not a guide to future performance.  Neither is past performance a necessarily reliable indicator of future performance.  No return of capital is implied or guaranteed.  There is a risk of loss of capital whenever money is invested, and we do not hold ourselves responsible for your stock trading or investing decisions.  No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to any presented or discussed here.  Absolutely consult your registered financial advisor and your risk trading plan before ever investing or trading any financial instrument.   All intellectual property rights in SOMC and website are, and at all times remain, the property of Richard Frank Schulz.  The content of Schulz on Market Cycles (in particular, the TAO 2, future generations of the TAO, the TAOscope, TAOgraph, TAOtransits, TAOtrader, and other TAO products), are protected by copyright.  The reproduction or duplication of information or data, especially the use of terms, wording, figures or graphs, is subject to prior approval of Richard Frank Schulz.

Transit Aspect Oscillator  A Global (personal) Psychological and Economic Indicator

       TAO 9 Applications:

        To the best of my knowledge, from Donald Bradley's efforts in the 1960's to the present time, there has not been a published astronomical oscillator correlating real-time with global stock indexes as the TAO 9 does. The study of the mathematical nature of the TAO  and its correlations with multiple realms of human activities has the potential to become a new field of scientific endeavor.
       The three TAO values (short, intermediate, and long term) and trends have statistical reliability and significance, and, therefore, probable predictive value  relative to global stock prices.  The creation of the TAO oscillators has been a 30 year project.   
       The rise and fall of global psychological optimism and pessimism correlate with the rise and fall of global wealth, as measured by stock prices. When the TAO 9 is below zero and falling, fear and pessimism dominate, manifesting in stock market declines.  When the TAO 9 is above zero and rising, happiness and optimism dominate, synchronistic, statistically, with rising stock market prices.  
      SOMC combines the TAO 9's intrinsic value with 25+ years of  technical market analysis and developing technical trading systems to time the price movements of the stock and commodity markets effectively.
      The graph of the aspectarian (that assigns positive and negative numbers to every degree of planetary pair angular separation) is not shown.  This graph (not shown) happens to validate some traditional astrological tenets on the nature of aspects. The TAO 9, however, is strictly astronomical and mathematical.  SOMC uses both the TAO 9 and relatively simple mechanical models to time and trade  intermediate and long term.

.....

CONTACT:   richardschulz12@yahoo.com             

Richard Frank Schulz 

07/ 09/ 1950, 1510 est, Detroit, MI, USA 
Bachelor of Science, 1978         

Master of Science, Clinical Psychology, 1987

TAO 9 available:


1)  TAO 9 1980-2015 and 1997-2015 graphs with a 3 page explanation

     2015 Financial Forecast included.

              $25.00    PayPal, Check, Money Order, etc., (USD or equivalent)

              Sent via snail mail only, please provide mailing address


2)  Subcription:   Not available currently  ($ 225/ year, $50/ 2months)

     a) The above hard copies of the TAO 9 graphs and explanation

     b) Real-time Equity, Bond, Gold and VIX positions and alerts, emailed

     c) Weekly commentary and technical charts


 www.PayPal.com   richardschulz12@yahoo.com

Richard Schulz
2240 Arizona Ave.
ROCKFORD, IL   61108-7503

815-398-5093

 


mepicture091209.jpg

SOMC Purposes:   10/21/16


1) Explore the EMA Oscillators across bi-daily and hourly data, and 5+ diverse ETF sectors

2) TAO 9 research: scientific astro cyclical advances, with multiple real world, real time applications

3) Timely technical charts and analysis: Stocks/ETFs usually, with some Bonds and Gold

4) Publish statistically sound Planetary cycles studies, whether positive or negative correlations

5) Utilize 30yrs of Astro and Trading experience



NOTES                                                                                                                  

6 - 27 0730:  Expo T reversals starting to appear.  Equities: the counter-trend rally is done.  Today, TZA and UVXY likely early, ??hold into 6/28.

6 - 26 0800:  Equities reversed higher during the last 2 weeks.  Today, highs early, then weakening.

6 - 13 through 23:  Aplus hosting issues (non-functional).

6 - 12 0730: Today, lower bias.  6-13, accelerating.  At a critical juncture.  6-14 FED.  This week is full of data impacts.  Redoing Expo T, ETF and  ETVF, probable final version for awhile.  It's taken 8 months to work the Expo Ts this far.  There are infinite variations.  Refinements now work well.

6 - 9  0750:  Today (hints from 6-8), equity highs (minimal) 1st 1-2hrs, then declining, maybe sharply. Bond lows early, then resuming longer rally.

6 - 8  0700:  Of all the am's to play bridge...Buffett and Gates understand...  Comey = a volatile financial markets day, More ~1300 when returning.

6 - 7  0750:  Today, irregular and quiet.  As in the May posting: "Markets seem to be ok with Pence as chief."  However, instability is more likely...

6 - 6  0730:  Maybe finally the equity uprooting begins.  Today, plain lower.

6 - 5  0800:  Today, equities choppy early, resolving lower.

6 - 2  0800:  NFP confirms GDP weakness, and the slide into recession.  Into 2018, onset global depression.  For today, re-entering TZA.

6 - 1  1400:  Win some, and giveular away 5% others...the price of traveling sometimes.  Looks like an equity rally into 6-2, then reassess.

5 -31 0840:  The Hindenberg omen of internal equity weakness and divergence has been alive and well for awhile now.  Sooner or later... As usual, there will be hindsight brilliant analysis of the "why's".  Cycles are cycles--ongoing and repetitive.  Equities are entering a severe, prolonged downdraft.  Leaving for Lake Havasu ~1100.  For today, more might be apparent by then...  Enjoy...

5 -30 0900:  Positions ok, and improving.  Lower equity day, and week.  The persistent descent begins.  Bonds+.  Leaving LA today.

5 -24 0730:  5-23 didn't work.  IWM & NYSE Expo T Fast call for the same: equity highs early, with a lower close.

5 -23 0800:  Equity high early, closing lower.  No intra-day monitoring.

5 -22 0800:  Equities: the highs early, then weakening, Rebound rally ends.  Lower week.  Enjoying the national parks of the SW.

5 -18 0700:  Strategic IWM Expo T in TZA from 4-26, and holding, now likely into June.  Traveling @1100...into the SW for 2wks.

5 -17 0800:  Almost buying TZA & UVXY on the 5-16 close...  Waiting this am for the rebound rally, then look short.

5 -16 0720:  So far, setting up for an irregular day.  Equity bias is mixed.

5 -15 0750:  A repeated equity theme recently: today, equity highs early, then weakening.  Perceived Pence as Pres is ok, for awhile...

5 -12 0630:  Away prior to open until ~1000.  This am, staying short.

5 -11 0700:  The Hindenberg internal weakness dam breaks.  Today, progressive equity weakness.  Away @0850 til the aft.


02/17 0700: The illusion that DJT policies can ever be funded, much less work, is persistent.  Awaiting the arrival of the tidal waves of health system, budget, tax, immigration and foreign policy dysfunction.


        Expo T  STRATEGIC           and            Technical  Charts

TAO 9 :   Brief TAO 9 summary and TAO 8 Graph


    The TAO 8 correlated with the SP 500, 1/1/1980 through 08/31/2014 PPMC is p < .0001, >1:10,000 against chance.    

          Pearson Product-Moment Correlation for TAO 8 and SP 500:   n=3602,   r=+0.48, p < .0001, which means that the TAO 8 correlated positively with the SP 500, both rising and falling, greater than 1:10,000 against chance.  This strength of correlation implies a causal mechanism, which is yet unknown.  As a comparison, to be very sure that the long sought after Higgs boson had been found, scientists used a 1:10,000 confidence level: p <.0001.  Current modern physics has no viable mechanism for explaining the TAO 8 results.  That is for future generations.

    TAO 9 Transiting Aspect Oscillator is a compilation of four fundamental primary concepts and functions:

1)  An Aspectarian based upon the weighted harmonics of the numbers 2 and 3, which gives positive/negative values to the transiting angular separation of each planetary pair

2)  The selection of 25 specific transiting planetary pairs used in the TAO 8 calculations

3)  Mathematical summations of those Aspectarian values (both exponential and unique astro averages) to generate the Quick TAO, Slow TAO and TAO 9

4)  Zeroing those summations over the selected time frames to create scientifically applicable oscillators

 

     The TAO 9 is a 100% mathematical, quantitative, zeroed oscillator that can be compared to real world, real time realms of human life.  The TAO 8 happens to highly correlate with the Global equities markets, and other financial, social and political measures.   The TAO 8 is a Directional Astronomical Indicator.

     As TAO 9 rises, Global Psychology tends to rise and equities/assets tend to gain value reliably (1:10,000 against chance).  When the TAO 9 falls, Global Psychology declines, pessimism emerges, and equities/assets tend to fall in value.

T812514300png.jpg

TAO 8: 1/ 1/ 1997 to 3/ 31/ 2014    Vertical is yearly/quarterly.

                TAO 8, red. Quick TAO, blue. Slow TAO, orange.  SP 500, black. SP 500, BLS Inflation Adjusted, light black and the lowest equity cycle on the graph.

8/ 11/ 14:   The TAO 8 is a zeroed oscillator, now falling from its highest peak, yet for all of early 2014 favors optimism. All declines have been brief and bought.  The Russell 2000, frequently a trend leader, has shown the greatest weakness.  And now with the steepening TAO 8 decline will come increased pessimism, depressing events, social unrest, political instability and asset vulnerability.  The 2015 season will favor selling equity rallies.



The TAO 9: An astro economic indicator, similar to but distinct from the Bradley model

     1)  100% objective, mathematical, astronomic and scientific Transiting Aspect Oscillator

     2)  A real-time, directional astro indicator, now with more than 1:10,000 significance

             a) TAO 9 high/rising brings optimism, raises equities, asset values and stability

             b) TAO 9 low/falling activates pessimism, erodes assets and adds social instability

     3)  SOMC: Integration of astro, cycles, and technical indicators for investment positions


TAO 8 graph, 1997 - 3/31/2014 below

SPY  Strategic   Expo T  5/16 to Present

SPY  Expo T   Strategic:    Sum%    T#    G#   L#     %G   %L    T G%  T L%   AveG% AveL%

5/16/16 - Present                23.9       18    13     5       72     28     28.2   - 4.3        2.2      - 0.8

EXPO T  FAST  Exponential  Oscillator  Values:     +1000/-1000 Max/Min

   

June                 1     2     5     6     7     8     9     12     13     14     15     16     19     20     21     22     23     26     27     28     29     30      3      5      6


XIV        1450

NYSE    1450

RSP      1450

XLF       1450


VEU      1450

VGK      1450


COMPQ 1450

QQQ      1450

XLV        1450


LQD      1450


GLD      1450


USO      1450

$NYA   04/05/17  1500 Daily.

     The 3/3 chart analysis: "3/1 was probably the IWM high for a long time...".

Same with $NYA. The month since has seen gradual erosion.  Now the chart is primed for the sharper phase.  The 9/25 MACD will go negative, and the longer 16/36 will follow.  The negative WMA trends will accelerate.  The immediate drop is to 11200.  Projection: <9300 =  >20% decline by year end.

5 - 16   NYSE       Expo T (ET),   Expo T Fast (ETF),   Expo T Slow (ETS)       5/16/16 - 5/16/17

      ET, ETF and ETS are unique oscillators.  As of the 5-16 close, ET Fast  prior thrusts below Zero were 3-6 to 3-14-17, similar to 7-25 to 8-4-16.  There are now 3 lower highs, and 2 lower lows with another (<-100) projected into Jun.

      5 - 17  The Forecast:  Accelerating equity declines, with both ET and ETS ending below Zero (into Oct).

Equity values will likely drop 20+%.  The statistical odds favor using Inverse equity ETFs as investments/hedges.

      Expo T is a composite of Exponential Oscillators and EO Sums.  It is zeroed, with a range of +1200 to -1200.

 6 - 27 cdt  0730  Expo T:                                    

                                                                          STRATEGIC:    Refer Expo T page



      XIV,  NYSE,  NASX,  DJT,  IWM,  QQQ,  RSP,  SPY,  XLF,  XLV,  VEU,  VGK.      UUP,  FXE.     TLT,  IEF, LQD, HYG.     GLD.     USO.

  2016  
   B /S
 NYSE   + / -
     %
 % SUM
 16 May
 S 1430
 206.60      
      0       0
 24 May
 B 0930
 205.90     0.7
    0.3     0.3
 10 Jun
 S 1430
 210.00     4.1
    2.0
    2.3
 23 Jun
 B 0930
 209.80     0.2
    0.1
    2.4
 24 Jun
 S 0930
 206.00   - 3.8
  - 1.8
    0.6
 28 Jun
 B 0930
 201.20     4.8
    2.3
    2.9
 25 Aug
 S 1430
 217.60   16.4
    8.1
   11.0
 02 Sep
 B 1430
 218.40
  - 0.8
  - 0.4
   10.6
 09 Sep
 S 0930
 216.20
  - 2.2
  - 1.0
    9.6
 27 Sep
 B 1430
 215.60
    0.6
    0.3
    9.9 
 11 Oct
 S 0930
 214.60
  - 1.0
  - 0.5
    9.4
 18 Oct
 B 1430
 213.70     0.9
    0.4
    9.8
 25 Oct
 S 1430
 214.20     0.5
    0.2
  10.0
 07 Nov
 B 0930
 211.90     2.3
    1.0
  11.0
 28 Dec
 S 1430
 224.50   12.6
    5.9
  16.9
 04 Jan
 B 0930
 225.80   - 1.3
  - 0.6
  16.3
 23 Feb
 S 1430 
 236.50   10.7  
    4.7
  21.0
 20 Apr
 B 0930
 234.50  
   2.0
    0.8
  21.8
 26 Apr
 S 0930
 239.40
   4.9
    2.1
  23.9
           
%24AXTAO60617.png

ASTRO  TAO  4 -7      1 - 25 chart update. Transiting  Planetary  Effects as related to the NYSE, and Global Equities and Assets.


     THE ASTRO  TAO (RED)  5-16-16 to 6-6-17, with the NYSE (BLACK) and Astro Sub Indexes.  TAO is an objective Transit Aspect Oscillator, and is ending a 7 month rise.   TAO >Zero & Rising = optimism and asset appreciation.  TAO <Zero & Falling = pessimism and asset devaluation.  From early March, TAO goes below zero = pessimism and negative events dominate = equities/assets sustain declines.

     This TAO model was created in 1985, modified in 2016, and has a positive, 1:10,000 (p < 0.0001), n = 12,064, Pearson correlation,

TAO with DJIA, 1900 - present.  TAO is 100% objective: numbers in = planetary angular separations, then Sine formula, = TAO oscillator out.

01/23/17:    The W.H.O. ICD-10 Dx Manual:  The US Pres = 5 major Personality disorders: 1) Narcissistic, 2) Histrionic,

                     3) Emotionally Unstable, 4) Paranoid and 5) Antisocial (to varying degrees) = DJT is a global risk.  "Wild Man". 

                     DJT's  Dx's are entrenched for life.  For DJT, all "perceived" threats become "real", and are attacked.  Early dementia/ALZ.


6-2:  Into 2018, the onset of global depression.  Deflation entrenched.  Global society structure risks. 

Postings are usually >=20min delayed     Monday aft and Thursday am away for bridge.


6 - 27 cdt  1130:   TACTICAL (Hrs-Dys):  1050 Buying TZA 16.19Limit

                    1032 Exiting. 1010 Buying TZA 0815 Buying TZA open


                 Buy        Date   Time        Price      Stop     Sell Date  Time        Price        %       Model

In              TZA        06/27  1057       16.19L   16.19          ETVF

Exit           TZA        06/27  1010       16.30                        06/27  1032      16.28    -   0.1      ETVF

Exit           TZA        06/27  0830       16.35                        06/27  0932      16.35    -   0.0      ETVF

Exit           TZA        06/26  0915       16.27                        06/26  1003      16.60L      2.0      ETVF

Exit           TZA        06/23  1335       16.45                        06/23  1500      16.41    -   0.3      ETVF 

to be filled in 6-09 to 6-23

Exit           TZA        06/09  0942       15.98L   15.98          ETVF

Exit           TZA        06/08  1252       16.28L                      06/09  0830      16.25    -   0.2      ETVF


  L =limit   s = stop                       Tactical Primarily uses:         ETF = Expo T  Fast         ETVF = Expo T  Very Fast
      (Volatility: Only on VIX Trades & Hx)


Tactical  Stats   (6-26 to be updated)

From  01/25/17            Net%+/--    #    #+  #-      W%  L%         Sum+   Sum-    Ave%+   Ave%-

EQUITY  ETFs                      90.0          68    41   27         60     40             102.9     - 13.3          2.5         - 0.5          

%24NYADy040517.png

6 - 27 cdt  0730 note           Ongoing  Aplus hosting issues.   (NOTES: BELOW CHARTS)


Expo  T    Exponential Oscillator Trends:   Both Tactical (Hours/Days) and Strategic (Days/Weeks/Months)

Charts     Technical  New  Expo T   (5 - 16),     NYSE  (4-5)  and  Astro  TAO  4-7 update (05/16/16 - 6/6/17)     Below.

TAO        Transit Aspect Oscillators:   Astro scientific indexes.   Transit aspects as they affect global events.

                   May-Jun and Sep-Oct 2017: assets/equities very vulnerable.


6 - 26:      Until the hosting issues are resolved, major site changes are being posted asap.


6 - 26:      USA Legislative void continues = generally positive for equities.


               STRATEGIC  Expo T (Days-Weeks):

ExpoT_NYSE051917.png