Schulz on Market Cycles
SOMC tries to ensure that the information provided is complete and correct, but does not warranty its accuracy or reliability. Information and opinions may change without notice, so readers are advised to check any material items(s) with an adviser before making any decisions. SOMC is for information purposes only, and does not constitute any kind of investment advice. It should also be noted that simulated performance is not a guide to future performance. Neither is past performance a necessarily reliable indicator of future performance. No return of capital is implied or guaranteed. There is a risk of loss of capital whenever money is invested, and we do not hold ourselves responsible for your stock trading or investing decisions. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to any presented or discussed here. Absolutely consult your registered financial advisor and your risk trading plan before ever investing or trading any financial instrument. All intellectual property rights in SOMC and website are, and at all times remain, the property of Richard Frank Schulz. The content of Schulz on Market Cycles (in particular, the TAO 2, future generations of the TAO, the TAOscope, TAOgraph, TAOtransits, TAOtrader, and other TAO products), are protected by copyright. The reproduction or duplication of information or data, especially the use of terms, wording, figures or graphs, is subject to prior approval of Richard Frank Schulz.
TAO 8 Applications:
To the best of my knowledge, from Donald Bradley's efforts in the 1960's to the present time, there has not been a published astronomical oscillator correlating real-time with global stock indexes as the TAO 8 does. The study of the mathematical nature of the TAO 8 and its correlations with multiple realms of human activities has the potential to become a new field of scientific endeavor.
three TAO values (short, intermediate, and long term) and trends have
statistical reliability and significance, and, therefore, probable
predictive value relative to global stock prices. The creation of the
TAO oscillators has been a 25+ year project.
The rise and
fall of global psychological optimism and pessimism correlate with the
rise and fall of global wealth, as measured by stock prices. When the
TAO 8 is below zero and falling, fear and pessimism dominate,
manifesting in stock market declines. When the TAO 8 is above zero and
rising, happiness and optimism dominate, synchronistic statistically
with rising stock market prices.
SOMC combines the TAO 8's
intrinsic value with 25+ years of technical market analysis and
developing technical trading systems to time the price movements of the
stock and commodity markets effectively.
The graph of the
aspectarian (that assigns positive and negative numbers to every degree
of planetary pair angular separation) is not shown. This graph (not
shown) happens to validate some traditional astrological tenets on the
nature of aspects. The TAO 8, however, is strictly astronomical and
mathematical. SOMC uses both the TAO 8 and relatively simple mechanical
models to time and trade intermediate and long term.
Richard Frank Schulz
07/ 09/ 1950, 1510 est, Detroit, MI, USA
Bachelor of Science, 1978
Master of Science, Clinical Psychology, 1987
TAO 8 now available: 3/ 23/ 14
1) TAO 8 1980-2014 and 1997-2014 graphs with a 2 page explanation
$25.00 PayPal, Check, Money Order, etc., (USD or equivalent)
2) Subcription: 3/23 Not available ($ 225/ year, $50/ 2months)
a) The above hard copies of the TAO 8 graphs and explanation
b) Revisions emailed if/when they occur
c) Real-time trading positions and alerts, emailed
d) Weekly commentary and positions on SP 500 (196 min, Daily and Weekly models, IWM, EWG, EWJ, and VWO (EEM),
e) Weekly commentary and positions on TLT, UUP, FXE, GLD, USO, DBC, MOO
ETF PERFORMANCE RESULTS: Daily data SP 500 ETF'S: From 06/ 15/ 07: + 313.2 % For 2013: + 32.1%
(newly adjusted for daily models)
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SOMC is an Affiliate with: http://www.markettiming.nl/en/market-timing-digest.com
Market Timing Digest features many of the most widely recognized astro, cyclical, and technical market timers in the world.
I submit my monthly comments to MTD as a service. It is a privilege to participate.
1) Bull/ Bear market positive earnings, 6 ETFs: (Buy Only) SPY, SSO, SPXL = Long. SH, SDS, SPXS = Short
2) Continue TAO 8 research: scientific astrocyclical advances, with multiple real world, real time applications
3) Submit Weekly Charts and Analysis: Stocks, Bonds, Currencies, Gold, Commodities
4) Research other Numerical and Planetary cycles, and test them quantitatively
4/ 16: Commentary on Astro ETF Trading. The 4/ 2 USO trade posted.
1/ 25: 2014 is both a 7 and a 4 year, and 2nd of a Pres Election cycle. = lower. The TAO 8 is clear: the world is beginning, with this week's financial events, a very stressful period: likely the start of a 2 year Bear market, and escalating economic, social and political upheavals...rivaling and/or exceeding 2008-2009...and probably with defaults, devaluations and civil crises from many countries. Multiple crash scenarios likely.
Fundamentally, there is currently record equity leverage, record sentiment, an overvalued CAPE, hardly any capex, and the FED reducing QE. The FOMC meets next week: it is not Federal (private), not Open (secretive), not Market (favors banks and manipulates), but is a committee, with some new dissenting voters this year (Fisher notably; SOMC has favored his commentary for many years).
12/ 21/ 13: Prior to the FED, an exit. Simply, the FED is the Major directing power of the US (global) equity markets. Tom McClellan recently shared a chart post that correlated FED infusions of liquidity vs. stasis, and, indeed, the relationship is r = +0.90 from far before 2007 to present; "The only chart you need to know."
One ultimate irony is that the FED also acts within the psychological trend of the TAO 8 Cycles. The end of 2013 and the whole of 2014+ is now defined quite clearly, declining equity/asset values and increasing levels of economic/social/political uncertainty, with a correlation of greater than 1:1,000,000 against chance. This level of positive correlation implies an active physical mechanism of causality, yet unknown.
02/ 25 Entry Buy SDS $ 29.31 @ 1000 Position: Long SDS ( = short US equities)
SPY = Long (SP 500, Unleveraged), SSO = Long, Leveraged 2x, SPXL = Long, Leveraged 3x
SH = Short (SP 500, Unleveraged), SDS = Short, Leveraged 2x, SPXS = Short, Leveraged 3x
MARKETS: A BUY OF: SPY, SSO, SPXL PROFITS FROM RISING STOCK PRICES.
A BUY OF: SH, SDS, SPXS PROFITS FROM DECLINING STOCK PRICES
If an investor maintains a simple strategy, with discipline, over time, the results are likely to be positive.
HOME of the TAO 8: 4/ 16/ 14
1) 100% objective, mathematical, astronomic and scientific Technical Aspect Oscillator
2) The only real-time, directional astro indicator, now with 1:1,000,000 significance
a) TAO 8 rising brings optimism, raises equities, asset values, and social well-being
b) TAO 8 falling activates pessimism, erodes equities, assets and adds social instability
3) Integration of astro, cycles, and technical indicators for investment positions
3/ 23/ 14: TAO 8 Science page now has a scientific abstract (explanation)
1/ 25/ 14 TAO 8 Now available 1980 through 2014, 1997-2014 graphs with commentary
The partial 01/01/1997 to 3/31/2014 graph is near page bottom...enjoy...
TAO 8 : Brief summary and Graph
The TAO 8 correlated with the SP 500, 1/1/1980 through 12/31/2013 PPRC is p < .000001, >1:1,000,000 against chance.
Pearson Product-Moment Correlation for TAO 8 and SP 500: n=3538, r=+0.66, p < .000001, which means that the TAO 8 correlates positively with the SP 500, both rising and falling, greater than 1:1,000,000 against chance. This strength of correlation implies a causal mechanism, which is yet unknown. As a comparison, to be very sure that the long sought after Higgs boson had been found, scientists used a 1:10,000 confidence level: p <.0001. Current modern physics has no viable mechanism for explaining the TAO 8 results. That is for future generations.
TAO 8 is a compilation of four fundamental primary concepts and functions:
1) An Aspectarian based upon the weighted harmonics of the numbers 2 and 3, which gives positive/negative values to the transiting angular separation of each planetary pair
2) The selection of the specific planetary pairs used in the TAO 8 calculations
3) Mathematical summations of those Aspectarian values (both exponential and uniquely astro averages) to generate the Quick TAO, Slow TAO and TAO 8
4) Zeroing those summations over the selected time frames to create scientifically applicable oscillators
The TAO 8 is a 100% mathematical, quantitative, zeroed oscillator that can be compared to real world, real time realms of human life. The TAO 8 happens to highly correlate with the Global equities markets, and other financial, social and political measures. The TAO 8 is a Directional Astronomical Indicator.
8 rises, Global Psychology rises and equities/assets tend to gain value reliably (1:1,000,000 against chance). When the TAO 8
falls, Global Psychology decline, pessimism emerges, and equities/assets tend to fall in value.
A1/ 1/ 1997 to 3/ 31/ 2014 Vertical is yearly/quarterly.
TAO 8, red; Quick TAO, blue; Slow TAO, orange; SP 500, black; SP 500, BLS Inflation Adjusted, light black
The TAO 8 is a zeroed oscillator, now falling from its highest peak. Its return to below the zero line is coming soon, and with the steepening decline comes pessimism, depressing events, social unrest, political instability and asset losses.